Silver prices have increased to a three-month high of $32.38. Increasing risk-off sentiment due to global trade and economic uncertainties has been the cause of this surge. In the recent past, with China introducing fresh tariffs on US imports, the tensions between the US and China have raised the demand for the safe-haven assets, including Silver. Silver is also being catalysed further by the US Dollar technical pullback. In addition to major central banks, including the ECB, BoC, and PBoC, turning dovish, the threat of US Federal Reserve rate cuts will continue to make Silver an appealing asset. The market now awaits US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), which might dictate the Federal Reserve’s next move in terms of monetary policy and the future of Silver.

KEY LOOKOUTS

• Ongoing fresh tariffs from China over US imports further fuel market uncertainty, increasing demand for safe-haven Silver as concerns grow over global economics.

• Technical pullbacks in the US Dollar, DXY, are a positive facilitator for Silver due to a weaker USD making the metal more desirable among investors.

• Dovish monetary policies by major central banks, including a potential rate cut by the Fed, work to increase appeal for Silver as the non-yielding safe-haven asset.

• The upcoming NFP report will be crucial in shaping the Fed’s interest rate decisions, potentially influencing Silver’s price direction.

Silver prices continue to gain momentum as global economic uncertainties and trade tensions between the US and China drive demand for safe-haven assets. The weakening US Dollar, experiencing a technical pullback, has further supported Silver’s bullish trend, making it more attractive for investors. The dovish policies of major central banks, including the expected rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, have further increased the appeal of Silver as a non-yielding asset. Market participants now look forward to the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which may significantly influence the policy direction of the Federal Reserve and may further affect the price trajectory of Silver in the coming sessions.

Silver prices are growing as the rest of the global trade tensions strengthen and a US Dollar weakening strengthens demand for a safe haven, while dovish central bank policies further increase attractiveness to Silver; investors await an upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls data to seek direction.

• XAG/USD hits $32.38 because of safe haven demand rising among global economic fears.

• China takes new tariffs for US imports by imposing new fees, fueling risk-off risk and strengthening prices for Silver.

• A technical pullback in the US Dollar (DXY) makes Silver more attractive to investors.

• Rate cuts and easing policies from major central banks, including the Fed, ECB, and BoC, make Silver more attractive.

• Markets expect at least two Fed rate cuts this year, which may push non-yielding assets like Silver higher.

• The jobs report next week may affect Fed policy decisions and Silver’s price trend.

• Investors continue to seek safe-haven assets such as Silver amid ongoing geopolitical and economic risks worldwide.

Silver prices have moved to a three-month high of $32.38, influenced by growing global trade uncertainties and a risk-off market sentiment. The ongoing US-China trade tensions, with China imposing fresh tariffs on US imports, have increased demand for safe-haven assets like Silver. At present, the current technical pullback of the US Dollar has created more room to push Silver even higher. And with the recent dovish tones from the Fed, ECB, and other main central banks on interest rates cuts, the asset is gaining support as a no-yielding haven.

XAG/USD Daily Price Chart

TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA

Market participants have been keenly observing the soon-to-be-reported US Nonfarm Payrolls that may be critically influential in affecting the Federal Reserve’s future policy on monetary money. A rather weak jobs report would make more probable Fed’s rate cuts further driving Silver upward, and, conversely, a strong jobs report could help limit the ascent. Widespread global growth concerns such as trade disruption, slowing down further, are enhancing demand for silver as a means of hedging against uncertainty. As investors balance these factors, Silver is well positioned for additional volatility in the coming sessions.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Silver (XAG/USD) remains highly bullish, trading near its three-month high at $32.38. Here, major technical indicators indicate more upside to be seen in this metal, as it has already broken above the resistance of $32.00 and transformed the same into a key support area. The Relative Strength Index is still in the bullish zone but is approaching overbought levels, so a short-term consolidation may be expected before another leg higher. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are in a sustained uptrend, as the price remains well above both. If Silver continues its uptrend, then $32.80 and $33.50 are the next resistance levels to watch, while a downside correction may find support at $31.80 and $31.50. Traders will be keeping a close eye on market sentiment and economic data for confirmation of the ongoing bullish trend.

FORECAST

Silver’s bullish momentum is strong as it trades near its three-month high of $32.38, with multiple factors supporting further gains. The weakening US Dollar, along with expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, is boosting investor interest in non-yielding assets like Silver. Besides geopolitical tensions- the US-China trade war, in particular and slow-down in world economies also promote safe haven. If silver sustains at this level and breaches above $32.00 then next on cards are the marks of $32.80 and $33.50. This might pull price up and surpass resistance toward a psychological $34.00 in case of affirmation of a dovish US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy posture within the forthcoming months.

Silver’s strong uptrend may face the risk of taking profits and technical corrections. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) closing in on the overbought territory, the pullback cannot be ruled out. If it fails to sustain above the support level of $32.00, it might face downward pressure with key supports at $31.80 and $31.50. A more robust US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report or hawkish communications from the Federal Reserve would see Silver prices dip temporarily. Increased volatility and short-term losses could also be expected if trade tensions between the US and China soften or the US Dollar rallies. However, corrections are seen as buying opportunities unless a drastic change in economic fundamentals reverses the current bull run.