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Bitcoin Grapples with Market Volatility: Price Reversal in Wake of Tariff Indecision and Institutional Withdrawal

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  • April 12, 2025
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Bitcoin prices have had an extreme price volatility this week, reversing their year-to-date low of $74,508 to trade about $82,500 by Friday. This reversals come despite increasing market indecision, ignited by President Trump’s tariff decrees and eventual 90-day reprieve. Although the cryptocurrency experienced a short-term rally on news of the tariff postponement, institutional appetite is still in the dumps, with Bitcoin spot ETFs witnessing a high net outflow. Also, fear of MicroStrategy’s possible sell-off of Bitcoin can also put more pressure on the market. Yet, against these odds, there have been some glimmers of hope, such as regulatory initiatives in Hong Kong to develop the region’s crypto market and hints that capitulation among investors may be almost over. Bitcoin’s prospects remain uncertain, with the potential varying from a recovery on a short-term basis to more losses, depending on market response to crucial technical levels. KEY LOOKOUTS • The market response to President Trump’s tariff actions, such as the 90-day delay, continues to be a major driver for Bitcoin’s short-term price action. Any developments or changes in trade tensions could have a profound effect on Bitcoin’s volatility. •  Ongoing withdrawals from Bitcoin spot ETFs, amounting to $712.27 million, reflect a declining institutional demand. This may exert downward pressure on the price of Bitcoin if it continues, especially since institutional investors have been responsible for the stability of Bitcoin’s price over the past few years. •  MicroStrategy’s large unrealized Bitcoin losses and its heavy dependence on Bitcoin as a core asset raise eyebrows. If the company were to be compelled to sell its holding, it would unleash a selling frenzy, accelerating supply pressure and affecting sentiment in the market. •  Although the market’s difficulties, the diminishing size of losses over recent weeks may signal that investor despair is close to ending. This may signal a possible change in market mood, providing a beacon of hope for a longer-term turnaround. Bitcoin’s market prospects are extremely unclear, fueled by continued tariff concerns, declining institutional demand, and the possible influence of MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin positions. The recent market volatility, following President Trump’s tariff statements and a follow-on 90-day hiatus, has seen tremendous price swings, as Bitcoin recovered to a year-to-date low around $82,500. Still, while recovery was noted, Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced deep outflows indicating declining institutional enthusiasm. Additionally, the potential threat of MicroStrategy having to dispose of some portion of its held Bitcoins because it has to honor financial obligations can threaten market stability. But indications of investor capitulation are beginning to display signs of fatigue, which might portend a move towards greater stability in the near term. The price of Bitcoin has seen extreme volatility, bouncing from a low of $74,508 to about $82,500 in the face of tariff uncertainty and declining institutional demand. Although fears of possible sell-offs by MicroStrategy and ETF outflows remain, indications of investor capitulation might signal a move towards stability. • Bitcoin’s value has experienced high levels of volatility over the past week, rallying from a low point of $74,508 to approximately $82,500, fueled by market indecision. •  The original decline in the value of Bitcoin was prompted by tensions regarding President Trump’s tariff statements, but a later 90-day respite sent relief signals and initiated a relatively modest rebound. •  Bitcoin spot ETFs have experienced heavy outflows, worth $712.27 million, as institutional investors lose interest. • MicroStrategy had a huge unrealized loss of $5.91 billion on its Bitcoin holdings, and there was concern that the company could be compelled to sell some of its Bitcoin to meet financial obligations. • If MicroStrategy is compelled to sell its Bitcoin holdings, it would cause a market sell-off, exacerbating supply pressure and hurting Bitcoin’s price. •  The size of losses trapped throughout the crypto space has fallen with every subsequent price leg lower, and this implies that investor capitulation is finally on the verge of concluding. • Hong Kong’s move to legalize staking by approved platforms and ETFs is regarded as an encouraging development, signaling increasing regulatory clarity and facilitating institutional adoption, which indirectly may benefit Bitcoin demand. The price of Bitcoin this week has been closely tied to events around the world and market response to uncertainties about trade policy. One of the main drivers of volatility was the announcement of tariffs by President Trump, followed by a brief moratorium that gave some relief to the market. Although Bitcoin rallied, there is still concern over institutional interest as seen in high outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs. This signals a change in institutional investors’ perspective toward the cryptocurrency, which might cause more trouble for the markets. BITCOIN DAILY PRICE CHART CHART SOURCE: TradingView On the corporate front, MicroStrategy’s financial condition has been a cause for concern as the company is sitting on huge unrealized losses on its Bitcoin holdings. The threat of possible sell-offs to meet financial commitments can rattle investor confidence and increase market pressure. There are, however, encouraging signs, like Hong Kong’s decision to strengthen its crypto regulations, which can drive future institutional demand and lay the groundwork for long-term growth in the space. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The price action of Bitcoin this week has been characterized by extreme volatility, with the cryptocurrency staging a temporary bounce following a new year-to-date low. The price of Bitcoin failed to pass resistance levels, especially the $85,000 level, and was rejected by a declining trendline extending from highs made before. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a possible increase in bearish momentum, showing that the price may see more corrections if it is unable to sustain upward momentum. Although the recent bounce back, Bitcoin’s technical outlook continues to be uncertain, with chances of a temporary rally or continued downfall based on how the market reacts to critical price levels and trendlines. FORECAST The price of Bitcoin may continue its recovery if it manages to break above the falling trendline and close above crucial resistance points, including $85,000. If this happens, it could unlock more bullish momentum, driving Bitcoin towards the psychological $90,000 level, and

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Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC Levels Out At Around $84,000 Following Regulatory Clarity and Fed Policy Cues

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  • March 22, 2025
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Bitcoin holds its ground at $84,000 this week thanks to encouraging regulatory clarity from the US SEC and sound interest rate policy cues from the Federal Reserve. Institutional buying is also recovering, as evident from healthy flows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Furthermore, decreasing global tensions and crypto-positive utterances by political leaders have additionally improved confidence levels in the market. As technical indicators report contradictory signals, total sentiment remains positive but with caution since Bitcoin is still acquiring mainline popularity and regulatory approval. KEY LOOKOUTS • The SEC explanation that Proof-of-Work (PoW) mining incentives are not securities boosted investor mood and may usher in new institutional investors for Bitcoin. • The Federal Reserve maintained rates steady and repeated its rate cutting projection, creating a conducive macroeconomic climate for crypto assets such as Bitcoin. • US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a total net inflow of $661.20 million this week, which could be an indication of a renewed surge in institutional demand and a relief from recent sell-side pressure. • The ongoing Gaza tensions and Bitcoin’s inability to hold above the 200-day EMA are reasons for concern. A more severe pullback is possible if BTC fails to regain support above $85,500. Even with Bitcoin stabilizing near the $84,000 level this week, the market continues to hang in the balance as a combination of macroeconomic drivers and geopolitical considerations remains at large to shape investor sentiments. The recent indication by the US SEC that Proof-of-Work (PoW) mining incentives do not constitute securities has given a regulatory boost with the potential to attract more institutional investment. Concurrently, the Federal Reserve’s stance in keeping interest rates unchanged and reaffirming its rate-cut projection has provided a positive environment for risk assets such as Bitcoin. Further, the significant net inflow of $661.20 million into US spot Bitcoin ETFs indicates a potential resurrection in institutional demand. Still, increased geopolitical tensions push, especially in Gaza, and Bitcoin’s failure to hold above the 200-day EMA mean caution continues to be justified in the short term. Bitcoin stays flat at $84,000 with positive regulatory clarity and consistent Fed policies. Solid ETF inflows indicate increasing institutional demand, but geopolitical tensions and technical resistance at the 200-day EMA make caution prudent in advance. • Bitcoin price steadies at $84,000 after recovering 2% for the week. • US SEC makes it clear PoW mining rewards aren’t securities, with improving market sentiment. • The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged and holds rate cut projection for 2025. • US spot Bitcoin ETFs see a net inflow of $661.20 million, with increased institutional demand. • BTC briefly reached $87,000 but couldn’t hold above its 200-day EMA, reflecting technical weakness. • Geopolitical events, such as the Gaza conflict and US-Russia-Ukraine negotiations, remain in the minds of investors. • If BTC cannot retake the 200-day EMA at $85,500, then a correction to support levels of $78,258 is likely. Bitcoin remained resilient this week, maintaining its ground around the $84,000 mark against general market uncertainties. One of the main drivers behind this stability is the encouraging regulatory progress from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which made it clear that Proof-of-Work (PoW) mining rewards do not fall under securities. This move has generated a big increase in investor sentiment and indicated a more positive approach to the crypto market. In addition to this, the Federal Reserve’s commitment to holding interest rates and keeping its rate cut view for the year has also boosted sentiment in financial markets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView Furthermore, the substantial inflow of $661.20 million into US spot Bitcoin ETFs indicates renewed institutional investor appetite, reflecting increased confidence and long-term hope in the market. Other positive global events, including diplomatic negotiations among the US, Russia, and Ukraine, have also been contributing to reducing some of the investor anxiety. Additionally, President Donald Trump’s friendly attitude toward crypto, particularly his speech during the Digital Asset Summit, further contributed to the general positive storyline for the space. As Bitcoin keeps gaining acceptance from the mainstream and institutional investment, such developments become instrumental in defining the future direction of digital assets. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin encountered resistance after touching briefly the $87,000 threshold earlier in the week but found it difficult to sustain above pivotal levels. Despite breaking above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) initially, it could not sustain that level of support, which could indicate short-term vulnerability. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also showed losing momentum, moving below the mid-point 50 level. If Bitcoin is able to retake and maintain above the 200-day EMA around $85,500, it may continue its rally towards the $90,000 psychological level. But if it fails to retake this level, it may pull back towards the next significant support level around $78,258. FORECAST Bitcoin is able to retake and hold above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $85,500, it may indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. Bullish macroeconomic signals, regulatory guidance by the SEC, and robust institutional flows via spot ETFs can be the stimulus needed for BTC to test the $87,000 resistance area again. If a breakout occurs above this threshold, it will clear the way for the next important psychological target of $90,000, which will continue to draw more buyers and further solidify general market sentiment. On the negative side, though, if Bitcoin cannot retake support at the 200-day EMA and keeps facing selling pressure, it can activate a deeper correction. The subsequent important support comes at around $78,258, and breaking below that may increase bearish sentiment. Rising geopolitical tensions or declining ETF inflows are also possible causes of increased selling pressure. In this scenario, investors are likely to adopt a risk-off strategy, causing further short-term downside action.

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Bitcoin’s Road to Recovery: Will Trump’s US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and the White House Crypto Summit Trigger a Rebound?

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  • March 8, 2025
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Bitcoin remains subject to volatility and uncertainty, its price falling more than 5% this week, currently sitting at around $88,900. Although a surprise statement by President Trump that the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve would be established triggered a temporary rally, the market soon corrected, resulting in substantial liquidations. Institutional outflows, increasing geopolitical tensions, and economic worries, including stagflation threats, have added to the bearish pressure on Bitcoin. While the first-ever White House Crypto Summit is underway, investors are optimistic that cryptocurrency regulation and innovation talks may offer a catalyst for a turnaround. But the fate of the market depends on the Summit’s results, and any failure to take concrete steps could further discourage investor. KEY LOOKOUTS • Bitcoin’s recent volatility has led to $1.67 billion in liquidations, indicating continued market uncertainty and possibility of further price volatility. • The result of the first White House Crypto Summit may have a profound effect on Bitcoin’s regulatory environment, impacting investor sentiment and price action. • President Trump’s executive order to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve may indicate growing institutional participation in Bitcoin, impacting its long-term value and adoption. • Ongoing redemptions from Bitcoin ETPs and ETFs demonstrate fading institutional demand, which can create additional pressure to the downside if the trend continues. Bitcoin is now undergoing a phase of increased volatility, with large market movements and liquidations totaling $1.67 billion this week alone. President Trump’s launch of his Strategic Bitcoin Reserve via an executive order has created momentary optimism, but this is followed by a correction in the market, citing the volatile nature of cryptocurrency prices. The ongoing White House Crypto Summit is a critical event in that it might bring regulatory illumination and more pointed guidance that will enhance investor sentiment. Still, with institutional flows still out, Bitcoin is facing increasing difficulties in terms of continued demand, and its price action is uncertain. How these things play out in the next few weeks will be pivotal in defining Bitcoin’s direction. Bitcoin is subject to great volatility, with recent market movement and $1.67 billion in liquidations. Whether President Trump’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and the White House Crypto Summit are successful in their endeavors can influence the future of Bitcoin, but continued institutional outflows threaten its recovery. • Bitcoin has fallen more than 5% this week to trade at approximately $88,900, under conditions of greater volatility and uncertainty in the market. • The recent market volatility has resulted in $1.67 billion worth of liquidations, reflecting the volatile nature of Bitcoin’s price action. • President Trump issued an executive order to establish a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, with the goal of keeping Bitcoin as a store of value and improving the country’s crypto strategy. • The inaugural White House Crypto Summit, aimed at cryptocurrency regulation and innovation, is viewed as a possible trigger for more defined policy and market calm. • Bitcoin ETFs and ETPs have seen notable outflows, totaling $329.90 million, which are indicative of diminishing institutional appetite for the cryptocurrency. • Bitcoin is holding up at the 200-day Exponential Moving Average at $85,843, and further falls may be in the offing if this support is breached. Bitcoin is now confronted with huge uncertainty, with recent market fluctuations raising alarm in the minds of investors. President Trump’s decision to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve via an executive order has added a new element to the crypto market, seeking to make Bitcoin a more stable asset in the U.S. financial system. This reserve, which will be used to store Bitcoin as a store of value, is an indication that the government is serious about incorporating digital assets into its overall economic plan, which could lead to more institutional participation in the future. BITCOIN DAILY PRICE CHART CHART SOURCE: TradingView At the same time, the inaugural White House Crypto Summit is making waves, as it will convene industry leaders to discuss the future of cryptocurrency regulation and innovation. With talks set to frame the regulatory environment for digital assets, the summit might bring much-needed clarity and sway investor sentiment. Institutional withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs are still underway, yet investors still harbor an increasing sense of guarded optimism that government policy, combined with clearer policies, will ultimately result in a more stable and benign environment for cryptocurrencies. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin is now testing major support levels, specifically around the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $85,843. The price has failed to regain momentum upwards after being rejected close to the $95,000 mark, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating bearish signals, which is a sign of downward pressure. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator also indicates indecision in market sentiment, as no trend direction is evident. As long as Bitcoin defends the $85,000 level, it is likely to seek recovery towards earlier highs, though breaking below will open the window to more loss-making moves in the direction of $73,000. FORECAST If Bitcoin is able to maintain prices above the important support level of $85,000, there is hope for recovery. Upbeat attitude toward President Trump’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and the White House Crypto Summit may restore investor confidence, triggering a rally. If Bitcoin is able to break resistance at $95,000, it is likely to push towards retesting the $100,000 mark. Institutional buying may gather momentum as the government becomes more proactive in regulating and embracing digital assets, infusing further upward momentum. But if Bitcoin cannot hold support at the $85,000 level and breaks lower, it may experience further losses. The continuing institutional outflows along with general economic issues such as global market volatility and stagflation concerns add to the pressure. In this case, a test of the next level of support at $73,000 is possible, with additional downside risk if macroeconomic conditions persist and worsen or if market sentiment turns sour after the White House Crypto Summit.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Volatility Hangs Over Head as White House Crypto Summit Nears

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  • March 5, 2025
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Bitcoin is under increased volatility as it heads into the inaugural White House Crypto Summit, with prices at around $87,600 after stabilizing at $85,000. The summit, which takes place on Friday, is likely to determine future regulation and innovation in the crypto space, creating uncertainty for the market. While that is happening, Bitcoin ETFs also remain in apparent outflows, reflecting poor institutional demand, which may put additional pressure on prices. There is still some optimism, though, as Japanese investment company Metaplanet recently added to BTC holdings, which lifted investor morale. If the $85,000 support level remains, Bitcoin may try to recover, but traders should be wary of possible market volatility. KEY LOOKOUTS • The coming summit has the potential to shape Bitcoin regulations and sentiment, which may result in heightened volatility and define the future of crypto policies. • Bitcoin ETFs saw $217.7 million in outflows this week, which indicates waning institutional appetite, and more price corrections can be expected if the trend continues. • Whether a recovery rally towards $95,000 is feasible will be determined by Bitcoin’s ability to maintain above this critical support, which is situated in line with the 200-day EMA. • Speculators around key events, such as Trump’s crypto position and regulatory changes, should be watched out for by traders since they may trigger sudden price movements and liquidations. The future of Bitcoin is uncertain as the crypto space prepares for possible volatility leading up to the White House Crypto Summit. The event may provide clarity on regulations, which will lead to investor confidence and institutional adoption. However, ongoing Bitcoin ETF outflows indicate a cautious stance among institutional investors, raising concerns about market stability. While corporate investments like Metaplanet’s recent Bitcoin purchase reflect long-term optimism, short-term price movements will likely depend on regulatory outcomes and broader market sentiment. As the industry awaits key policy discussions, traders should prepare for possible fluctuations in the coming days. Bitcoin is susceptible to volatility ahead of the White House Crypto Summit, with investors keenly monitoring regulatory updates. Institutional withdrawals keep weighing on BTC, while support at $85,000 holds the key for a rebound. Market speculation and changing sentiment are likely to generate sharp price moves, and thus caution is advisable for investors. • The historic summit may dictate regulatory policies and market sentiment and, in the process, drive Bitcoin volatility. • BTC fluctuates at $87,600 after rebounding from the $85,000 support, with possible recovery to $95,000 if momentum continues. • Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced $217.7 million of outflows this week, indicating weakening institutional demand and possible further price corrections. • There was a brief rally after Trump’s ‘Crypto Strategic Reserve’ announcement but was wiped out, demonstrating a “buy the rumor, sell the news” effect. • BTC’s capacity to remain above this significant level, which coincides with the 200-day EMA, is important for any prospective bullish action. • Speculative actions surrounding regulatory news and institutional participation may cause sudden price movements and potential liquidations. • The $44 million BTC acquisition by the Japanese investment company sparked optimism, showing that some institutions continue to view Bitcoin as a solid asset. The upcoming White House Crypto Summit marks a significant moment for the cryptocurrency industry, bringing together key industry leaders, policymakers, and investors to discuss the future of digital assets. This event highlights the growing importance of cryptocurrency in the financial sector and signals the government’s increasing involvement in shaping regulations. With the topics of innovation, security, and compliance expected to be discussed, the summit may shape the way that crypto becomes a part of mainstream finance. The involvement of high-profile individuals further adds to the likely shift towards a more regulated and organized crypto environment. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView That being said, institutional demand for Bitcoin remains one of the most influential drivers of market sentiment at the same time. As some investment companies are expanding their Bitcoin reserves, overall fluctuations in demand are mirroring wider uncertainties within the sector. The shifting regulatory environment, as well as debates surrounding crypto policies at the highest level, may decide the next stage of adoption and integration. As institutions and governments adopt a more formal stance on digital assets, the future effect on the crypto market will be significantly based on the manner in which regulation strikes a balance between innovation and investor protection. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The crypto industry is at a pivotal juncture as global debate around regulation and adoption builds momentum. The forthcoming White House Crypto Summit is evidence of how digital assets increasingly play a role in mainstream finance as policymakers and industry executives convene to discuss the future of crypto innovation. The gathering underscores the necessity of clear regulatory guidelines to balance security, compliance, and expansion while instilling investor and institutional confidence. As governments and corporations chart their course through this shifting terrain, choices made today may determine the future place of cryptocurrencies within the world economy. FORECAST The price of Bitcoin may experience a bullish push if encouraging news flows from the White House Crypto Summit, especially if the conversation turns in the direction of straightforward and welcoming regulations. A well-defined regulatory environment would increase investor confidence, draw institutional investment, and propel Bitcoin’s acceptance within mainstream finance. Besides that, increased corporate investments, including Metaplanet’s latest Bitcoin buy, suggest some institutions still believe long-term prospects in digital assets. If that type of investment persists, Bitcoin might see fresh demand and price hikes in the near future. To the negative side, institutional participation uncertainty remains the most critical factor. Bitcoin ETFs have shown major outflows, implying deteriorating demand among big players, which would bear down on prices. In addition, regulatory uncertainty and market speculation tend to stimulate volatility, with sudden price fluctuations and potential liquidations impacting traders. In case institutional outflows continue and no firm regulatory support comes from the forthcoming summit, Bitcoin would find it challenging to stay stable and could be subject to further falls in the short term.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Rally Falters Amid Institutional Selling and Tariff Uncertainty

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  • February 28, 2025
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Bitcoin was highly volatile this week, trading at around $86,000 following a steep 15% drop that saw prices dip as low as $82,256. The decline was largely fueled by President Trump’s renewed tariff threats and declining institutional demand, as seen through massive ETF outflows of $2.2 billion. Technical indicators, such as an oversold RSI, suggest a possible rebound, but traders are still wary in the face of general market uncertainty and concerns that more corrections will send Bitcoin’s price to about $73,000. KEY LOOKOUTS • Bitcoin ETFs experienced $2.2 billion in outflows, adding selling pressure and raising questions about sustained downside momentum. • Trump’s suggested 25% tariffs on the EU and North America add to market uncertainty, potentially putting additional weight on BTC price action. • BTC’s significant support is $73,000; a fall below this may initiate a deeper correction, but RSI suggests potential recovery. • As concerns over stagflation increase, Bitcoin remains trading in tandem with risk assets, with liquidation pressure in the face of economic uncertainty. Bitcoin’s latest price movement indicates a struggle between rebounding and more downward pressure, with the cryptocurrency stuck near $86,000 after an intense 15% fall this week. The rout was prompted by institutional players liquidating their holdings, with Bitcoin ETFs posting $2.2 billion of net redemptions over the last three days. Compounding the doubts, President Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on the European Union, as well as delayed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, triggered risk-off across world markets. The analysts suggest that if bearish pressure continues, BTC can challenge the decisive $73,000 support threshold. But as the RSI indicator also displays oversold, a possible flip remains in consideration, leaving speculators in waiting mode. Bitcoin is trading at $86,000 following a steep 15% fall, fueled by institutional selling and Trump’s tariff threats against the EU. With $2.2 billion worth of Bitcoin ETF outflows, market sentiment is still bearish, and BTC may test the $73,000 support level if selling pressure persists. Nevertheless, the RSI indicates oversold levels, which may see a rebound. • BTC is trading at $86,000 following a steep 15% fall earlier this week. • Bitcoin ETFs experienced $2.2 billion in net outflows in the last three days, adding to selling pressure. • President Trump’s suggested 25% tariffs on the EU and delayed duties on Canada and Mexico have sparked risk-off sentiment. • Stagflation and economic instability fears have prompted investors to cut risk exposure, affecting BTC prices. • If selling pressure persists, BTC may test the key $73,000 support level in the next few days. • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is oversold and may reflect a reversal or bounce. • Although there’s a possibility of a rebound, BTC is still volatile, and traders need to be ready for more price fluctuations. Bitcoin’s recent price action underscores the influence of externalities, such as geopolitical tensions and changing investor sentiment. The current tariff talks, especially President Trump’s suggested 25% tariff on the European Union, have introduced uncertainty in financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. Investors are watching closely as global economic policies continue to influence the digital asset space. Institutional investors, meanwhile, have been selling their Bitcoin holdings, adding to overall market trends and informing trading behavior. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView Apart from market forces, the use of Bitcoin as a hedge for economic uncertainty is also an important topic of discussion. While others consider it a store of value, there are others who perceive it as a high-risk asset to be buffeted by external factors. The cryptocurrency market is always closely associated with macroeconomic indicators, regulatory actions, and investor sentiment, all of which are influential in determining its future. With the changing global financial environment, Bitcoin remains in the middle of all the talk regarding digital assets and their role in today’s economy. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin recently broke below significant support levels, which was a sign of a change in momentum. The recent selling pressure, fueled by institutional outflows and macroeconomic uncertainties, has added to heightened volatility. Nonetheless, technical analysis using Relative Strength Index (RSI) also points toward oversold situations that might precipitate a reversal or short-lived relief rally. Even the trend of volume confirms diminished buying interest that continues to underscore cautious feelings from the trading fraternity. Bitcoin might experience more corrections unless it finds renewed strength past the levels of resistance, yet breaking through principal moving averages will reverse bullish vigor. FORECAST Bitcoin may pick up steam and move towards higher resistance levels. A decline in institutional outflows and renewed buying interest from big investors may create buying pressure, firming up the price. Moreover, any favorable macroeconomic news, including clarity on tariffs or alleviating inflation fears, may restore confidence in risk assets, including BTC. If demand picks up, Bitcoin may regain earlier highs and try to break resistance levels, indicating a possible bullish trend. On the negative side, Bitcoin is still susceptible to further corrections if selling pressure persists. Institutional investors selling their holdings and continued uncertainty regarding global economic policies may trigger another round of declines. If Bitcoin fails to hold onto key support levels, it can test lower price levels, possibly hitting the $73,000 level. Additionally, macroeconomic threats like extended stagflation concerns and decreased liquidity in financial markets may contribute to downward pressure, making short-term recovery difficult.

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Bitcoin Price Falls Below $90,000: Liquidations Mount as Market Responds to Bybit Hack

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  • February 25, 2025
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Bitcoin’s price is down below $90,000, wrapping up its consolidation phase and causing epic liquidations in the crypto market. In the last 24 hours, $1.34 billion of liquidations erased 367,500 traders, with the largest individual order at $20.80 million on Binance. The fall comes in the wake of a security incident at Bybit, which saw the exchange lose about $2 billion worth of BTC from its coffers. Uncertainty in the markets and mounting selling pressure have pushed Bitcoin to a low of $88,200, with analysts issuing warnings that additional losses could send BTC to the $85,000 support point. But in the event that sentiment improves, Bitcoin can try to regain the $100,000 level. KEY LOOKOUTS • BTC drops to $88,200, a steep 4.89% drop and ending its prolonged consolidation, worrying investors. • More than $1.34 billion in liquidations erased 367,500 traders, with the biggest single order of $20.80 million on Binance, boosting selling pressure. • Bybit lost approximately $2 billion in BTC from reserves as a result of a security breach, resulting in increased investor fears and market withdrawals. • Bearish momentum in Bitcoin persists, with RSI approaching oversold levels. Further decline can test $85,000, and a bounce can test $100,000. Bitcoin’s sudden drop below $90,000 has caused enormous liquidations, erasing 367,500 traders and a total of $1.34 billion in losses. The downturn in the market comes after a security hack at Bybit that saw a loss of $2 billion in BTC reserves, instilling uncertainty and investor withdrawals. The largest volume liquidation order of $20.80 million happened on Binance, contributing to the selling wave. With Bitcoin’s drop to $88,200 and its RSI close to oversold, experts indicate that BTC may challenge the $85,000 support level if the bearish trend continues. The price, however, can still rebound and recover towards the $100,000 psychological level. Bitcoin’s price fell below $90,000, initiating $1.34 billion worth of liquidations and eliminating 367,500 traders. A $2 billion BTC loss by Bybit reserves created market uncertainty. If the bearish strength prevails, BTC might challenge $85,000, while a reversal could reach $100,000. • BTC falls to $88,200, putting an end to its extended consolidation period and causing major market volatility. • More than $1.34 billion worth of liquidations erased 367,500 traders in 24 hours, with the single biggest order valued at $20.80 million on Binance. • Bybit lost about $2 billion worth of BTC reserves following a security breach, and this triggered heightened investor withdrawals and market volatility. • The breach and market anxiety prompted a wide sell-off, driving Bitcoin to lower support levels and enhancing downward momentum. • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is 30, which indicates strong bearish momentum and a possible further price drop. • Experts warn that Bitcoin may test the $85,000 level if the bearish trend persists, fuelling fears of further corrections. • If Bitcoin recovers, it may retest its $100,000 psychological level, so investor sentiment will be the key to what happens next. Bitcoin’s recent decline below $90,000 has caused shockwaves in the cryptocurrency space, spawning across-the-board liquidations and jitters among investors. The unexpected dip follows a security hack at Bybit, where up to $2 billion worth of BTC reserves were stolen, leading the majority of users to withdraw their funds. The incident has raised eyebrows regarding the security of centralized exchanges and the need for self-custodial wallets. The cryptocurrency community is paying close attention to how exchanges react to such incidents, as investor sentiment is important in keeping the market stable.  BITCOIN Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA The sell-off has also affected traders, with more than $1.34 billion worth of liquidations taking place within 24 hours, hitting 367,500 traders. Market sentiment has been dented, as fear and uncertainty spread after the Bybit incident. Though Bitcoin has experienced similar declines in the past, the situation now accentuates the increasing difficulty of securing digital assets. In the backdrop, talk of decentralized finance (DeFi) and self-custody is gaining traction as investors look for safer options to safeguard their investments. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin’s recent price action indicates robust bearish momentum, with the price falling below the important psychological level of $90,000. The collapse of this level precipitated massive liquidations, indicating rising selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart has fallen to 30, close to oversold levels, which means that BTC may be in need of a short-term rebound. But the inability to stay above the $94,000 support level indicates that Bitcoin may test lower support levels, with $85,000 becoming a key level to monitor. On the positive side, a bounce above $91,500 might be a sign of a reversal but with stubborn resistance at $94,000 and $100,000 that could cap the upside action. Traders are taking keen interest in volume action and market sentiment to determine if Bitcoin will bounce back into its bullish trend or maintain its downside correction. FORECAST Bitcoin’s recent fall below $90,000 is a sign of sustained selling, with prospects of further downward action. The breakdown of the crucial support levels has added bearish momentum, and if BTC cannot hold up above $88,000, it might prolong its correction down to $85,000. Market sentiment is still weak courtesy of the Bybit security breach, which has instilled fear among investors. Also, liquidation figures indicate that investors are selling their positions, which further adds to the negative momentum. If selling persists, Bitcoin could struggle to establish firm support, paving the way for a potential retest of lower levels. Bitcoin has proven to be resilient in the past in bouncing back from market dips. If investors step in and push BTC above $91,500, it can regain its bullish trend, with a possible retest of the $94,000 resistance level. A break above this range could unleash more gains, with the psychological $100,000 level being the next key resistance. Moreover, if RSI stays in oversold levels for a long time, a relief rally may happen, drawing buyers who seek cheap entry points. Institutional demand and overall

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Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Consolidation, Weak Demand, and Correction Risks Ahead

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  • February 22, 2025
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Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase between $94,000 and $100,000, with weakening institutional demand reflected in $489.60 million of ETF outflows and decreasing network activity, while technical indicators like a bullish MACD crossover indicate potential upside if BTC can break above $100,000—yet muted RSI momentum and upcoming FTX repayments highlight prevailing market uncertainty, and CryptoQuant cautions that without better demand and liquidity, Bitcoin may experience further corrections down to $86,000. KEY LOOKOUTS • Bitcoin is ranging between $94,000 and $100,000 in the face of large ETF redemptions and softening institutional buying, which presents a tenuous price setting for risk-averse traders. • A bullish MACD crossover presents possible upside momentum in case Bitcoin crosses $100,000, but soft RSI and low network activity continue to increase risk worries. • Deadbeat FTX repayments are creating market uncertainty, as smaller creditor payments trigger nervousness among investors while waiting for larger payment schedules beginning on May 30. • CryptoQuant’s report cautions that in the absence of better demand and liquidity, Bitcoin’s ongoing consolidation might fail, potentially dropping prices to support levels at $86,000. Bitcoin is ranging between $94,000 and $100,000 as institutional appetite falters, with ETF redemptions worth $489.60 million supporting weak market conditions. A bullish MACD crossover suggests possible uptrend momentum if Bitcoin breaks above $100,000, though muted RSI readings and low network activity hint at continued market conservatism. CryptoQuant cautions that without enhanced demand and liquidity, Bitcoin may fall to support levels around $86,000, with FTX repayment uncertainties providing additional investor jitters. Bitcoin is ranging between $94,000 and $100,000 on weak institutional buying and heavy ETF outflows. A bullish MACD crossover indicates upward momentum, but muted RSI and low network activity call for caution. CryptoQuant advises that without enhanced demand and liquidity, Bitcoin can fall to support levels around $86,000. •  Bitcoin has been ranging between $94,000 and $100,000 since early February. •  US Bitcoin spot ETF flows indicate net withdrawals of $489.60 million through Thursday. •  CryptoQuant cautions that without better demand and liquidity, Bitcoin may fall to about $86,000. •  Institutional demand is declining, contributing to the present delicate market conditions. •  Deceased FTX payments have brought further uncertainty, with smaller creditors already being paid. •  A bullish MACD crossover indicates possible upward momentum in case Bitcoin breaks the $100,000 barrier. •  Slowing network activity and multi-month low volatility indicate investor caution. Bitcoin has been ranging between $94,000 and $100,000, with dipping institutional demand and high ETF outflows. The sentiment of the current crypto market is further subdued by weak network activity, with the network activity index of Bitcoin being the lowest in a year, reflecting a general loss of interest in the markets. This deteriorating demand, along with persisting fears about liquidity, is keeping investors nervous, with some expecting additional price corrections if things do not start looking up. On the other hand, market uncertainty has been compounded by the process of repayment of FTX creditors that has created further uncertainty. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA These trends have resulted in a tentative market environment where aggregate demand seems to be declining. Furthermore, the ongoing exercise of settling creditors by the collapsed FTX exchange has contributed to existing uncertainty among stakeholders. Market players are monitoring these events keenly, as sustained issues with demand and liquidity may have long-term implications for the wider Bitcoin ecosystem. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin technicals imply a guarded accumulation for a possible directional move. The bullish MACD crossover of the daily chart implies a likely surge in momentum in case Bitcoin is able to break through the $100,000 mark, and the RSI staying close to its neutral point of 50 indicates an even tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The consolidation in the $94,000 to $100,000 range indicates a time of balance, with low volatility and moderate volume supporting the idea that a major breakout or breakdown may be on the horizon. FORECAST If Bitcoin is able to break convincingly above the $100,000 level, the market is likely to find renewed bullish thrust, with upside price action in the direction of the January 30 high of around $106,457. Favorable technical signals like the MACD crossover indicate a probable sustained upside based on growing momentum fueled by optimistic investor sentiment or favorable market developments. If Bitcoin is unable to hold support at the present consolidation level and breaks below $94,000, it may be subject to further price corrections. Further weakening of demand and liquidity conditions, along with uncertainty in the market, might push Bitcoin’s price down to critical support levels around $86,000. This could be worsened by low network usage and continued institutional outflows, which are indicators of a weakening market.

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Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC Grapples with Multi-Month Low Volatility in the Face of FTX Repayments and Market Volatility

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  • February 20, 2025
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Bitcoin price has been ranging between $94,000 and $100,000 over the last two weeks, with volatility reaching multi-month lows, raising the specter of potential liquidation cascades. The recent slide to $93,388 was precipitated by FTX repayments, as the bankrupt exchange started reimbursing clients with account balances below $50,000. A K33 Research report points out that trading volumes, yields, options premiums, and ETF flows have fallen to levels last witnessed prior to the US Presidential election, indicating a risk-averse market sentiment. As Bitcoin grapples with breaking out of its range, analysts caution that a clear move below $94,000 has the potential to drive prices to the psychological $90,000 level, while a breakout above $100,000 could propel a retest of its January highs. Traders are still undecided, with technical indicators reflecting consolidation and indecision in BTC’s direction. KEY LOOKOUTS • A strong break below $94,000 may lead to a fall to $90,000, while a break above $100,000 might propel a bullish run. • Ongoing customer refunds, amounting to as much as $16.5 billion, may impact Bitcoin’s liquidity and sentiment in the weeks ahead. • Low volatility of BTC is a cause for concern of resultant cascades of liquidations, with speculators waiting for a trigger to a large price shift. • RSI at 42 and MACD convergence indicate consolidation, with speculators looking for a decisive directional breakout in the trend of Bitcoin’s prices. The price of Bitcoin is still in narrow consolidation at $94,000 to $100,000 levels, with volatility at multi-month lows, keeping speculators in the dark. The recent fall to $93,388 was prompted by FTX repayments as the exchange started to reimburse clients, impacting market liquidity. A report by K33 Research points to decreasing trading volumes, yields, and ETF flows as indicative of a risk-averse market sentiment. If Bitcoin drops below $94,000, it may test the psychological $90,000 support level, while a break above $100,000 can result in a retest of January highs. With technical signals indicating indecisiveness, traders are waiting for a catalyst for a clear price direction. Bitcoin is range-trading between $94,000 and $100,000 with volatility at multi-month lows, sparking fears of liquidation risks. FTX repayments have affected market liquidity, with traders waiting for a breakout. A fall below $94,000 may drive BTC to $90,000, while breaking above $100,000 might give rise to a bullish rally. • BTC has been range-bound between $94,000 and $100,000 over the last two weeks, failing to break its range. • The recent price drop was spurred by FTX starting repayments, affecting market liquidity and sentiment among traders. • BTC’s volatility has come down to multi-month lows, which is of concern regarding the possibility of liquidation cascades in case a significant move takes place. • The RSI at 42 and MACD convergence suggest there is no distinct momentum, representing uncertainty in the market. • A breakdown below $94,000 can send BTC towards $90,000, and a breakout above $100,000 can induce a rally. • Slumping trading volumes, ETF flows, and yields mean the traders are holding out for a clear directional move. • There is no immediate bullish catalyst in the offing, so BTC’s next big move will rely on external market events. Bitcoin’s market activity has tempered noticeably, with volatility falling to multi-month lows, reflecting a risk-averse trading climate. One of the influencing factors in the market is recent FTX repayments, wherein the exchange has initiated repayment of customers who had claims worth less than $50,000, and higher repayment amounts are to be initiated shortly. This has brought liquidity changes, which have resulted in shifting trader sentiment. Furthermore, a K33 Research report suggests that volumes of trading, ETF flows, and yields have fallen to their lowest level since prior to the previous U.S. Presidential election, an indication of less market participation and skepticism regarding Bitcoin’s next big move. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA The current market stage is marked by indecisiveness, as investors wait for clear indications before making big moves. With moderate leverage in the market, the possibility of instant large-scale liquidations is still low, but the absence of strong momentum indicates that traders are following a wait-and-watch strategy. Market sentiment is still guarded, and there are no imminent drivers for significant price action. The medium- to long-term direction of Bitcoin is still subject to macroeconomic conditions, regulatory changes, and institutional investment, all of which will have their say in the next wave of market action. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Technical charts show that Bitcoin is in consolidation, with no obvious momentum to break out. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 42, indicating neutral to weakly bearish sentiment since it cannot break above the 50 level. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) lines are still tightly entwined, indicating uncertainty among traders. The price has been ranging within a tight band, with support and resistance levels controlling short-term actions. Also, CME futures premiums have fallen below 5%, a historically important level that tends to precede changes in market trends. With the current configuration, traders are watching closely for any breakout above or below the consolidation range, which may determine the next major move for Bitcoin. FORECAST If Bitcoin is able to break above the $100,000 resistance level, it may initiate a new bullish momentum, drawing fresh buying interest. A break above this range could lead to a retest of its January high at $106,012, possibly marking the beginning of a more sustained uptrend. Optimism in the market, institutional inflows, and other general economic drivers like regulatory clarity or ETF-based demand might propel this rally further. Historically, Bitcoin has fared well in more robust basis regimes, so an improvement in trading volume and investor sentiment could keep the momentum on the upside. On the negative side, if Bitcoin cannot sustain the $94,000 support level, it may drop further towards the psychologically important $90,000 level. A breakdown below this level could cause stop-loss selling and intensify selling pressure, resulting in further downward movement. Moreover, low volatility and diminishing trading activity mean that a precipitous

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Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Consolidation Ongoing Amid Fading Institutional Demand and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

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  • February 15, 2025
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Bitcoin has consolidated between $94,000 and $100,000 over the last ten days, which is a period of indecision in the market. Institutional demand is fading, as seen through a $650.80 million net outflow from US Bitcoin spot ETFs. Its correlation with the S&P 500 is still firm, but it has lost strength in correlation with Gold, as it is not a safe-haven asset but a risk-on asset. The macroeconomic backdrop, such as a hotter-than-anticipated US CPI report and Trump’s move to broker a Russia-Ukraine peace agreement, has introduced some volatility into the price action of BTC. Although technicals point to slightly bearish momentum, a conclusive breakout above $100,000 or below $94,000 might pave the way for Bitcoin’s next significant move.  KEY LOOKOUTS • Bitcoin spot ETFs had a $650.80 million net outflow, reflecting waning institutional interest, which might propel additional price corrections. • US CPI releases and Federal Reserve rate expectations are influencing Bitcoin’s price, elevating market volatility and putting off a potential bullish breakout. • The correlation between Bitcoin and Gold has declined, with institutions going long on the precious metal due to regulation fears, volatility, and increasing fiat devaluation threats. • A clear break below $94,000 would precipitate a fall to $90,000, while a break above $100,000 could be followed by a test of $106,012. Bitcoin’s price is still in consolidation between $94,000 and $100,000, and declining institutional demand after spot ETFs experienced a $650.80 million net outflow. Macroeconomic tensions, such as above-predicted US CPI figures and Federal Reserve policy changes, are fueling market volatility. In the meantime, Bitcoin’s correlation with Gold has declined, as institutions favor the precious metal because it remains stable amidst fiat devaluation fears. Technically, BTC is in a critical juncture—falling below $94,000 may move prices towards $90,000, while breaking above $100,000 may propel a rally towards its January 31 high of $106,012. Bitcoin is still consolidating between $94,000 and $100,000, as weakening institutional demand and macroeconomic uncertainties put pressure on it. A break above $100,000 could instigate a rally, but a fall below $94,000 could lead to further falls. • BTC has been ranging between $94,000 and $100,000 over the last ten days, indicating market indecision. • US Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen a net outflow of $650.80 million, reflecting diminishing institutional appetite and probable downside threats. • Increased US CPI figures and delayed Federal Reserve rate reductions have boosted market uncertainty, influencing the price actions of Bitcoin. • BTC is trending more like a risk-on asset, with tighter correlation to the S&P 500 and a looser association with Gold. • Gold has surpassed Bitcoin in 2024 as institutional and sovereign wealth fund investment lifted its market capitalization. • RSI of 45 and a bearish MACD crossover indicate BTC could experience further corrections if it cannot break levels of resistance. • A price rise above $100,000 can trigger a rally to $106,012, while falling below $94,000 could see a plunge towards $90,000. Bitcoin has been ranging between $94,000 and $100,000 over the last ten days, indicating market uncertainty as institutional demand falters. US Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a large net outflow of $650.80 million, indicating decreased interest from institutional investors, which may cause further downward pressure. Moreover, macroeconomic factors, including increasing US CPI data and delayed Federal Reserve rate reductions, have introduced volatility into the market. Bitcoin is increasingly acting as a risk-on asset, with a higher correlation with the S&P 500 and decreasing correlation with Gold. Institutional investors still prefer Gold, which has gained $1.5 trillion in market capitalization this year, further diminishing Bitcoin’s safe-haven appeal. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA Bitcoin’s price is still in consolidation between $94,000 and $100,000, as the traders wait for a break. Institutional appetite has slowed, as evident from the $650.80 million net Bitcoin spot ETF outflow, with fears of sustaining bearish pressure. Macroeconomic measures such as US inflation data and delay in rate cuts by the Federal Reserve continue to affect BTC’s price movement. If Bitcoin surges above $100,000, it might recover its bullish trend and reach $106,012, but a fall below $94,000 can initiate a downfall towards $90,000. As long as market uncertainty lingers, traders need to pay close attention to important technical metrics and macroeconomic events for the next big move. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Technical indicators of Bitcoin are bearish as it is still consolidating between $94,000 and $100,000. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45, reflecting slight bearish momentum after being pushed away from the middle-of-the-road 50 level. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has also created a bearish crossover with red histogram bars pointing towards further possible corrections. A break below the critical support level of $94,000 by Bitcoin can lead to a fall towards the psychologically significant $90,000 level. On the other hand, a breakout above $100,000 would change momentum in the direction of the bulls, propelling BTC towards its January 31 high of $106,012. Traders will want to keep a close eye on volume and market sentiment for confirmation of the next large move. FORECAST If Bitcoin breaks above the top end of its current range of consolidation at $100,000, it might set off a bullish rally. A successful break with high buying volume would drive BTC towards its former high of $106,012, its last seen on January 31. Additional momentum might see a retest of higher resistance points at $110,000 as institutional and retail traders regain confidence. Macro economic influences, like a weaker US CPI report or a change in Federal Reserve policy in favor of rate cuts, would be the catalysts for Bitcoin’s upside. Moreover, increased adoption by sovereign players and ETFs holding more Bitcoin might lend long-term bullish support. In case Bitcoin does not hold above $94,000, bear pressure may gain strength to take it down towards the next psychological support level of $90,000. Deteriorating institutional appetite, as seen in the recent $650.80 million ETF outflows, might add to downside risks. Furthermore, if macroeconomic volatility continues—i.e., persistently high inflation, tardy Fed rate

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Bitcoin and the U.S. Sovereign Wealth Fund: Strategic Move or Speculation?

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  • February 4, 2025
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President Donald Trump has signed an executive order to create the first-ever U.S. sovereign wealth fund, aimed at monetizing national assets for economic development. Details of the fund’s structure are yet to be finalized, but speculation in the crypto community is growing regarding the possible inclusion of Bitcoin. Bitwise Senior Investment Strategist Juan Leon added that Bitcoin should be added as a strategic reserve asset to the fund following Trump’s recent initiative to form a U.S. digital asset stockpile. After the announcement, Bitcoin immediately rose above the $100,000 threshold, which shows that the markets remain optimistic regarding the cryptocurrency. With the Treasury and Commerce departments getting ready for their investment plan, eyes are on if Bitcoin will be a key part of America’s financial future. KEY LOOKOUTS                          • The Treasury and Commerce departments have 90 days to submit their sovereign wealth fund plan, which is expected to be fully established within 12 months. • There are growing speculations regarding whether the fund will put Bitcoin inside, making it a strategic reserve asset of the United States. • Bitcoin shot past $100,000 after the announcement, which reflected strong investor confidence and anticipation regarding the fund’s impact on digital assets. • The fund will monetize U.S. national assets to enhance economic development, possibly reshaping the country’s financial strategy for long-term growth. The establishment of a U.S. sovereign wealth fund is a significant shift in the country’s economic strategy, with speculation mounting over Bitcoin’s potential inclusion. President Trump issued an executive order that requires the Treasury and Commerce departments to design a comprehensive plan within 90 days, stating investment strategies and governance structures. This move was a follow-up to his earlier initiative to form a digital asset stockpile and has further been fueling discussion about Bitcoin’s role as a strategic reserve asset. The crypto market reacted vigorously, pushing Bitcoin beyond the $100,000 mark, signifying increased investor confidence. Bitcoin may be included in the fund, fundamentally altering how the United States would use digital assets to further national wealth and economic growth. Speculation over Bitcoin’s use in a potential U.S. sovereign wealth fund, following President Trump’s executive order aimed at creating the wealth fund, has bred optimism in the crypto market. Bitcoin surged past $100,000. It is likely the first asset in this financial play that will reshape America’s financial strategy.”. • President Donald Trump signed an order to create the first ever U.S. sovereign wealth fund for economic development. • The Treasury and Commerce departments are tasked with creating a strategic plan within 90 days, with full implementation expected within 12 months. • Crypto experts, including Bitwise strategist Juan Leon, believe Bitcoin could be added to the fund as a strategic reserve asset. • The order follows Trump’s recent initiative to create a U.S. digital asset stockpile, further fueling Bitcoin inclusion rumors. • Bitcoin surged past $100,000 following the announcement, reflecting strong investor optimism about potential government adoption. • The fund aims to monetize U.S. national assets, potentially reshaping financial strategies and long-term wealth management. • As for the Bitcoin inclusion, this is purely speculative, and the final plan of the Treasury and Commerce departments will determine the fund’s composition and investment strategy. President Donald Trump’s executive order to establish a U.S. sovereign wealth fund has caused wide speculation, especially in the cryptocurrency community. Charged with designing the structure of the fund, the Treasury and Commerce departments have 90 days to present a comprehensive plan that includes investment strategies and governance frameworks. Although the order does not mention Bitcoin, its possible addition has been a hot topic, especially after Trump’s recent move to create a U.S. digital asset stockpile. According to Bitwise senior investment strategist Juan Leon, Bitcoin could be added as a strategic reserve asset, further integrating digital currencies into the country’s economic framework. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA The announcement has already had a significant impact on the crypto market, with Bitcoin surging past the $100,000 mark in response to growing optimism. If the U.S. government includes Bitcoin in its sovereign wealth fund, it could mark a historic shift in financial policy, positioning digital assets alongside traditional reserves. This could also impact global economic trends as other countries will look at the option of using Bitcoin in their financial planning. As the news of the sovereign wealth fund is unfolding, all eyes are still on how the U.S. will use this move to gain a better position in the economic front. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Technical analysis plays a significant role in understanding Bitcoin’s price movement after President Trump’s announcement of the sovereign wealth fund. As Bitcoin touched above the $100,000 level, key gauges like moving averages, RSI, and Fibonacci retracement levels are carefully monitored by the traders. Since there is such a rapid hike in the price, support seems to be near the level of $98,000 and resistance around the value of $105,000. The volume study also reveals higher buying activity with rising confidence from the investors’ end. If Bitcoin maintains above critical support levels, a further upward surge is expected, but a breakdown may lead to short-term corrections. As the speculation regarding the inclusion of Bitcoin in the sovereign wealth fund remains, traders are expected to track breakout patterns and volatility spikes that may be beneficial for price movement. FORECAST Bitcoin manages to regain the $100,000 mark after President Trump issues an executive order, and market sentiment remains primarily bullish. In fact, if Bitcoin gets officially considered to go into the sovereign wealth fund, institutional interest could erupt, driving prices even higher. The key resistance levels to watch are $105,000 and $110,000; on a breakout, Bitcoin may surge towards $120,000 in the next few weeks. Increasing trading volumes and strong accumulation by whales further lends to this bull. However, the positive macroeconomic environment and regulatory clarity regarding digital assets could also be the fuel for Bitcoin’s continued upward trend. Bitcoin is still a very volatile asset, and any corrections should not be ignored. If Bitcoin cannot hold

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