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Bitcoin Weekly Outlook: Institutional Appetite and Fed Rate-Cut Speculation Power BTC Rebound Towards $120K

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  • September 6, 2025
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Bitcoin rebounded almost 4% this week, rising back towards $112,000 as solid institutional flows and increasing corporate uptake helped stabilize downside pressure. Investor sentiment firmed following softer US labor market numbers lifted rate-cut hopes at the Federal Reserve, which may help support risk assets such as BTC further. With more than $400 million of inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and companies like Metaplanet and CIMG building reserves, institutional demand continues to be the primary driver. Yet, traders are cautious ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which may define the Fed’s rate-cut trajectory and determine the direction for Bitcoin’s next move. KEY LOOKOUTS • Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls report might affect rate-cut expectations directly, impacting BTC’s momentum. • Ongoing flows into Bitcoin ETFs and institutional buying are pivotal in maintaining price gains. • BTC has to stay above $110,750 support and overcome $116,000–$117,400 resistance to continue gains towards $120K. • Crypto Fear & Greed Index recovery into neutral indicates bearish pressure easing, though caution is advisable amidst conflicting momentum signals. Bitcoin has mounted a steady recovery this week, recouping almost 4% to trade at about $112,000 as institutional buying and corporate uptake continue to underpin price action. Sentiment on possible Federal Reserve rate cuts, after softer US labor market data, has also helped drive risk-on sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded more than $400 million in inflows, with companies like Metaplanet and CIMG increasing their BTC holdings, highlighting increased confidence from institutional investors. Traders are still cautious, however, ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls release, which may give new hints on the policy direction of the Fed and establish the tone for Bitcoin’s next significant movement. Bitcoin recovered almost 4% this week to trade at around $112,000, backed by firm ETF inflows and business buying. Weaker US labor data supported Fed rate-cut hopes, although traders are waiting for the NFP report for new direction. • Weaker US labor data lifted hopes for September rate cuts, supporting BTC’s bounce. • Jobs data on Friday may determine the next significant directional move for BTC. • Spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced $406 million in inflows during the week, indicating strong demand. • Companies such as Metaplanet and CIMG increased Bitcoin reserves, upholding long-term support. • Important supports are at $107,429 and $110,750, with resistance between $116,000–$120,000. • Recovery of Fear & Greed Index to 48 indicates weakening bearish pressure and neutral sentiment. • Global appetite for risk and performance of USD continue to play key roles in determining BTC momentum. Bitcoin’s rally during the week was largely driven by institutional and corporate buying, which continues to cement its position as a long-term investment vehicle. Over $400 million of inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs registered for the second consecutive week of gains, and bluechip companies such as Metaplanet and CIMG added to reserves. These strategic buys reflect increasing faith in Bitcoin as a treasury holding and underscore the expanding acceptance of the cryptocurrency among traditional financial institutions. Meanwhile, a study by River uncovered that BTC is among the largest daily purchasers of Bitcoin by treasury companies, with companies investing significantly more than a token portion of their revenues into the asset, which reflects increasing grassroots adoption. BITCOIN DAILY CHART PRICE SOURCE: TradingView At the macroeconomic level, hopes for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have contributed to the bull run, as deteriorating US labor market numbers strengthened the argument for less monetary tightening. The scenario has enhanced the attractiveness of Bitcoin as a store of value, particularly as traditional fiat currencies come under growing pressure. Adding to the optimism, voices such as Ray Dalio stressed crypto as a sound money with controlled supply versus debt-bloated fiat systems. As the Crypto Fear and Greed Index moved back into neutral levels, investor sentiment appears to be stabilizing, indicating that market participants are slowly regaining confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term direction. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin regained steam after rebounding from its weekly low close to $107,429 and is currently trading around $112,000. BTC on the 4-hour chart broke out above a downtrend line a while back during the week and is presently indicating bullish strength with the backing of a bullish RSI reading above 50 and a possible MACD bullish crossover. The chart for the day indicates that BTC was trading above its 100-day EMA at $110,753, confirming its short-term strength. As long as the rise persists, the near-term resistance would be around $116,000–$117,400, whereas a clean breakout over those levels could pave the way to the crucial psychological level of $120,000. FORECAST If institutional investment and corporate adoption keep coming in at the same rate, Bitcoin may extend its recovery towards the $116,000–$117,400 range in the immediate term. A decisive break above these resistance levels should set the stage for a retest of the psychological landmark at $120,000. Favorable macro conditions, including Fed rate-cut expectations and softening US Dollar strength, may further fuel risk-on sentiment and draw further inflows into Bitcoin, propelling it higher. Conversely, if the US Nonfarm Payrolls figure comes in better-than-anticipated, it might temper Fed rate-cut expectations and push Bitcoin’s price lower. Not being able to stay above near-term support at $110,750 might expose BTC to further losses, with a test of $107,429 likely if bears gain more momentum. Also, a reversal in investor sentiment towards risk aversion or redemptions from spot ETFs may cap Bitcoin’s rebound and keep the market under bear pressure in the near term.

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Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC Sinks Below $110K Following $1.8 Billion Liquidations

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  • August 30, 2025
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Bitcoin continued to fall this week, dipping more than 10% below its August high of $124,474 and below $110,000 on the back of $1.8 billion in market-wide liquidations, the majority of which were from long positions. Even in light of dovish remarks by Fed Chair Powell and consistent institutional inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, market sentiment remains weak as spot demand offsets and futures remain bearish-leaning. Corporate demand, such as new BTC buys from treasury companies, gives some respite, but technicals indicate fading momentum, prompting traders to be wary before September’s critical macroeconomic releases and the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement. KEY LOOKOUTS • BTC below $110,000 with major supports at $108,600 and $104,400; a close below may initiate greater losses. • Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen more than $567 million inflows this week, a bullish sign that can aid recovery if maintained. • Coming US core PCE inflation data and the Fed meeting in September have the potential to trigger volatility and dictate BTC’s direction. • Neutral spot demand vs. bearish perpetual futures indicate risk-averse trader attitudes and latent short-term downward risk. Bitcoin struggled to maintain ground this week, falling to below $110,000 after a sharp correction of over 10% from its record mid-August high. The sell-off prompted more than $1.8 billion in liquidations, the lion’s share being from long positions, highlighting excessively bullish market leverage. Although dovish comments by Fed Chair Powell and fresh institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs provided some relief, spot demand has switched to a neutral bias and sentiment in futures is weak. As technical indicators signal diminishing momentum, the near-term fate of BTC relies on critical macroeconomic data and if buyers intervene to support critical support levels. Bitcoin is still in the bearish trap after it had fallen more than 10% from its all-time high, declining below $110,000 on the backdrop of $1.8 billion liquidations. Even with ETF flows and institutional buying, market sentiment remains weak as investors wait for key US inflation figures and Fed policy signals. • Bitcoin dropped more than 10% from its all-time high of $124,474, trading below $110,000 this week. • The crypto market witnessed $1.8 billion in liquidations, where 74% were from long positions. • Fed Chair Powell’s dovish comments did not prop up BTC, as bearish pressure continued. • Spot Bitcoin ETFs had $567 million of inflows, indicating renewed interest from institutions. • Institutional buyers such as Metaplanet and Strategy purchased 3,184 BTC, riding down price movements. • Technical indicators indicate decreasing momentum, with RSI moving lower and MACD indicating a bearish crossover. • The next significant move for BTC may be powered by key events in the near future—US core PCE inflation figures and the Fed meeting in September. Bitcoin struggled through a week as the crypto sector digested more than $1.8 billion in liquidations, predominantly among long positions, exposing the dangers of over-leveraged trading. Institutional and corporate investors remained strong despite the sell-down, and Bitcoin spot ETFs posted inflows exceeding $567 million after a week of catastrophic outflows. Other corporate treasuries, including Metaplanet and Strategy, also seized the opportunity, accumulating thousands of BTC to their total, reaffirming faith in the asset’s long-term value. BITCOIN DAILY PRICE CHART SOURCE: TradingView Aside from market movement, the presence of Bitcoin globally continues to grow. The Hong Kong Bitcoin Asia conference, the second-largest cryptocurrency conference worldwide, reflected the increasing dominance of BTC in the Asian market. At the same time, Donald Trump’s sons-backed American Bitcoin is set to list on the Nasdaq via a merger with Gryphon Digital Mining, an initiative which can further solidify Bitcoin’s acceptance into the mainstream. These moves speak to Bitcoin’s durability and the constant inclusion of digital assets in both institutional investment portfolios and the world’s financial markets. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin displays weakening momentum after three consecutive weeks of losses since its all-time high of $124,474 in mid-August. The price fell below its 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level of $110,849, increasing the danger of sliding further towards the 200-day EMA level around $103,974 if selling continues. Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 39, indicating strong bearish momentum, but the weekly RSI has moved slightly towards neutral, indicating waning bullish strength. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also indicating a bearish crossover, suggesting potential for an early downtrend to develop unless BTC recovers past resistance of $116,000. FORECAST If Bitcoin can resist falling below the $110,000 level and continue to receive institutional inflows into spot ETFs, the recovery could stretch towards near-term resistance levels around $116,000. Institutional buying including corporate treasury buying, combined with more robust global adoption indicators like the impending Nasdaq listing of American Bitcoin, can further fuel sentiment. Alternatively, a dovish result from the Federal Reserve’s September meeting or declining US inflation numbers would also offer upside support, enabling BTC to recover lost ground and potentially stabilize above critical levels. Alternatively, unable to maintain above the 100-day EMA of $110,849 and successive selling pressure may see Bitcoin lower towards its next area of support at $104,400, with ongoing risk of testing the 200-day EMA at around $103,974. Bearish futures sentiment and declining spot demand mean that buyers are still apprehensive, making BTC susceptible to deeper corrections if macroeconomic reports surprise to the upside and move the US dollar higher. In this case, traders can expect extended consolidation or further declines before Bitcoin tries to recover again.

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Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC Suffers $1.15B ETF Outflows as Powell Speech Nears

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  • August 23, 2025
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Bitcoin (BTC) continued its correction this week, dropping more than 3% to hold above the important support of $111,980 as institutional demand slipped and profit-taking hardened. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw more than $1.15 billion in outflows—the biggest in five months—highlighting eroding momentum in the market. On-chain metrics also showed eroding demand and high futures open interest, indicating tenuous sentiment. A dovish Federal Reserve approach and lower rate-cut hopes contributed to downside pressure on risk assets. But corporate BTC buying, Hong Kong’s virtual asset trading launch, and geopolitical optimism provided some respite. Now, traders look for Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech for new hints on when Bitcoin will make its next move. KEY LOOKOUTS • Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.15 billion in outflows, the biggest in five months, and that raised fears of more downside. • BTC is maintaining above $111,980 support; a break could lead to further correction, and a rally above $114,788 (50-day EMA) may incite rebound. • Market participants are looking for Jackson Hole Symposium comments for signals on upcoming interest rate policy and its influence on risk assets. • Weakening demand, profit-taking, and high open interest point to weak market conditions, but institutional buying at dips provides some hope. Bitcoin’s price correction intensified this week as profit-taking and declining institutional demand pulled the cryptocurrency below critical technical levels, albeit still ranging above $111,980 support. Spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced $1.15 billion worth of outflows, their largest in five months, which indicates diminishing momentum and puts further downside pressure in question. On-chain metrics also indicate cooling demand and high leverage, making the market susceptible to volatility. In the meantime, macroeconomic headwinds emanating from the Federal Reserve’s dovish tilt have negatively impacted risk sentiment, with investors now eagerly looking out for Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech for more clues on the rate prospect and Bitcoin’s next potential move. Bitcoin is still under pressure this week, holding above $111,980 support after spot ETFs saw $1.15 billion in outflows, the largest in five months. Deteriorating demand, profit-taking, and hawkish Fed leaning increase the downside risk, with market players looking to Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole for new market signals. • Bitcoin fell more than 3% this week, holding above $111,980 crucial support. • Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.15 billion of outflows, the biggest in five months. • BTC has fallen close to 8% from the all-time peak of $124,747 on August 14. • Weak demand and increasing profit-taking are reflected in on-chain data. • Open interest in futures is still high at $67 billion, indicating vulnerable conditions. • A dovish Fed outlook and lower rate-cut expectations negatively influence risk assets. • Market participants look to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole address for future guidance. Bitcoin had a tough week as sentiment among investors deteriorated, with spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds  experiencing more than $1.15 billion of outflow, the biggest in five months. This indicated weakening institutional appetite, as most investors took profits after the recent all-time highs of the cryptocurrency. Market focus also shifted towards wider macroeconomic trends, specifically the Federal Reserve’s dovish approach towards inflation and monetary policy, which has contributed to uncertainty among risk assets, including Bitcoin. BITCOIN DAILY PRICE CHART SOURCE: TradingView There were rays of hope in the market despite the correction. Institutional investors such as Metaplanet and Strategy used the drop to increase their Bitcoin positions, indicating long-term faith. Moreover, CMB International Securities’ introduction of virtual asset trading in Hong Kong was a huge leap forward for mainstream acceptance, as it was the first Chinese bank-associated brokerage to get into the business. At the same time, geopolitical events, including possible peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, promised better risk sentiment, which would indirectly positively impact Bitcoin in the near term. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin is finding its range just above its key support at $111,980 after falling close to 8% from its latest all-time peak. A bounce back above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level of $114,788 would pave the way for a journey towards the resistance level at $116,000. But the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 42, below the neutral 50 level, indicating bearish momentum. Unless the RSI is able to return above neutral, BTC will risk being in consolidation or facing additional downward pressure. FORECAST If Bitcoin is able to maintain the $111,980 support price and build further momentum over its 50-day EMA level of $114,788, it may initiate a short-term rebound. A breakout above this region would be likely to prompt the buyers to drive BTC towards its next resistance level of $116,000, and if the uptrend momentum gains further strength, the price may test the $120,000 zone in the near future. Institutional dip-buying and favorable macro or geopolitical news may also serve as a catalyst for an upside move. Conversely, inability to hold the $111,980 support may intensify selling momentum and extend the correction. A drop below this key level might leave Bitcoin vulnerable to deeper falls towards $110,000 and even $108,500 if demand continues to erode. High futures open interest levels and diminishing institutional demand imply that even small declines are capable of unleashing sharper losses, particularly if Powell’s Jackson Hole speech indicates a more aggressive monetary policy trajectory.

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Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC Levels Out At Around $84,000 Following Regulatory Clarity and Fed Policy Cues

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  • March 22, 2025
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Bitcoin holds its ground at $84,000 this week thanks to encouraging regulatory clarity from the US SEC and sound interest rate policy cues from the Federal Reserve. Institutional buying is also recovering, as evident from healthy flows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Furthermore, decreasing global tensions and crypto-positive utterances by political leaders have additionally improved confidence levels in the market. As technical indicators report contradictory signals, total sentiment remains positive but with caution since Bitcoin is still acquiring mainline popularity and regulatory approval. KEY LOOKOUTS • The SEC explanation that Proof-of-Work (PoW) mining incentives are not securities boosted investor mood and may usher in new institutional investors for Bitcoin. • The Federal Reserve maintained rates steady and repeated its rate cutting projection, creating a conducive macroeconomic climate for crypto assets such as Bitcoin. • US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a total net inflow of $661.20 million this week, which could be an indication of a renewed surge in institutional demand and a relief from recent sell-side pressure. • The ongoing Gaza tensions and Bitcoin’s inability to hold above the 200-day EMA are reasons for concern. A more severe pullback is possible if BTC fails to regain support above $85,500. Even with Bitcoin stabilizing near the $84,000 level this week, the market continues to hang in the balance as a combination of macroeconomic drivers and geopolitical considerations remains at large to shape investor sentiments. The recent indication by the US SEC that Proof-of-Work (PoW) mining incentives do not constitute securities has given a regulatory boost with the potential to attract more institutional investment. Concurrently, the Federal Reserve’s stance in keeping interest rates unchanged and reaffirming its rate-cut projection has provided a positive environment for risk assets such as Bitcoin. Further, the significant net inflow of $661.20 million into US spot Bitcoin ETFs indicates a potential resurrection in institutional demand. Still, increased geopolitical tensions push, especially in Gaza, and Bitcoin’s failure to hold above the 200-day EMA mean caution continues to be justified in the short term. Bitcoin stays flat at $84,000 with positive regulatory clarity and consistent Fed policies. Solid ETF inflows indicate increasing institutional demand, but geopolitical tensions and technical resistance at the 200-day EMA make caution prudent in advance. • Bitcoin price steadies at $84,000 after recovering 2% for the week. • US SEC makes it clear PoW mining rewards aren’t securities, with improving market sentiment. • The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged and holds rate cut projection for 2025. • US spot Bitcoin ETFs see a net inflow of $661.20 million, with increased institutional demand. • BTC briefly reached $87,000 but couldn’t hold above its 200-day EMA, reflecting technical weakness. • Geopolitical events, such as the Gaza conflict and US-Russia-Ukraine negotiations, remain in the minds of investors. • If BTC cannot retake the 200-day EMA at $85,500, then a correction to support levels of $78,258 is likely. Bitcoin remained resilient this week, maintaining its ground around the $84,000 mark against general market uncertainties. One of the main drivers behind this stability is the encouraging regulatory progress from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which made it clear that Proof-of-Work (PoW) mining rewards do not fall under securities. This move has generated a big increase in investor sentiment and indicated a more positive approach to the crypto market. In addition to this, the Federal Reserve’s commitment to holding interest rates and keeping its rate cut view for the year has also boosted sentiment in financial markets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView Furthermore, the substantial inflow of $661.20 million into US spot Bitcoin ETFs indicates renewed institutional investor appetite, reflecting increased confidence and long-term hope in the market. Other positive global events, including diplomatic negotiations among the US, Russia, and Ukraine, have also been contributing to reducing some of the investor anxiety. Additionally, President Donald Trump’s friendly attitude toward crypto, particularly his speech during the Digital Asset Summit, further contributed to the general positive storyline for the space. As Bitcoin keeps gaining acceptance from the mainstream and institutional investment, such developments become instrumental in defining the future direction of digital assets. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin encountered resistance after touching briefly the $87,000 threshold earlier in the week but found it difficult to sustain above pivotal levels. Despite breaking above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) initially, it could not sustain that level of support, which could indicate short-term vulnerability. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also showed losing momentum, moving below the mid-point 50 level. If Bitcoin is able to retake and maintain above the 200-day EMA around $85,500, it may continue its rally towards the $90,000 psychological level. But if it fails to retake this level, it may pull back towards the next significant support level around $78,258. FORECAST Bitcoin is able to retake and hold above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $85,500, it may indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. Bullish macroeconomic signals, regulatory guidance by the SEC, and robust institutional flows via spot ETFs can be the stimulus needed for BTC to test the $87,000 resistance area again. If a breakout occurs above this threshold, it will clear the way for the next important psychological target of $90,000, which will continue to draw more buyers and further solidify general market sentiment. On the negative side, though, if Bitcoin cannot retake support at the 200-day EMA and keeps facing selling pressure, it can activate a deeper correction. The subsequent important support comes at around $78,258, and breaking below that may increase bearish sentiment. Rising geopolitical tensions or declining ETF inflows are also possible causes of increased selling pressure. In this scenario, investors are likely to adopt a risk-off strategy, causing further short-term downside action.

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Bitcoin Weekly Outlook: Will Geopolitical Tensions Lead to a $75K Reversal or Spark a Bullish Rebound to $90K?

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  • March 15, 2025
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Bitcoin remains in the midst of turbulent waters as tensions over geopolitics, such as Trump’s escalating trade war against Canada, loom large over the supportive effects of easing U.S. inflation data. Though up a moderate 5% on the week, BTC remains susceptible to reversing lower towards $75,000, particularly given decreasing market volumes and ongoing ETF outflows. Though technical indicators imply bearish pressure, future macro events like the potential Fed rate pause and enhancing Russia-Ukraine ceasefire chances might revive bullish momentum. As market sentiment remains suspended, traders eagerly await whether Bitcoin will recover to $90,000 or encounter a further correction in the week ahead. KEY LOOKOUTS • A possible Fed rate hold next week would be a positive for crypto market sentiment and propel new inflows into Bitcoin and digital assets. • Rising US-Canada trade war tensions and worldwide tensions will likely remain a drag on retail investor sentiment, adding to the downside risk for Bitcoin. • Persistent Bitcoin ETF outflows confirm weak institutional sentiment; look for a reversal as the catalyst for bearish momentum. • Parabolic SAR and constricting Bollinger Bands suggest buildup in volatility—BTC’s next step may be quick, either to $75K or $90K. Bitcoin enters a make-or-break period as counterbalancing macroeconomic and geopolitical factors still drive its price direction. Although relenting U.S. inflation and impending Fed rate standstill hold promise for bullish momentum, the US-Canada trade war and entrenched ETF outflows bring investor mood into question. Technical indicators such as the Parabolic SAR and constricting Bollinger Bands indicate increased volatility in the future, with Bitcoin set for a significant breakout in either direction. While BTC hovers around $84,800, market players are divided—will the bulls take charge for a $90K breakout, or does a reversal to $75K await? Bitcoin is at a crossroads as loosening inflation feeds bullish expectations but trade war nerves and ETF selling increase the downside risks. As volatility signals pick up, BTC may swing drastically to $90K or plunge to $75K in the next few days. • Bitcoin price trades around $84,800, indicating a 5% weekly advance despite recent turmoil and macro pressures. • US-Canada trade tensions initiated by Trump’s tariff announcements are cooling retail investor sentiment and weakening market momentum. • Market volumes have fallen for the third consecutive week, enhancing the threat of a possible reversal in price to the $75,000 support level. • Parabolic SAR is still bearish, and narrowing Bollinger Bands point toward an upcoming breakout or breakdown in BTC’s price action. • Bitcoin ETFs experienced $830 million worth of outflows, following the pattern of stagnant institutional demand and contributing to near-term volatility. • Polymarket traders imply a 99% probability of a Fed pause, which, if realized, could be positively impacting crypto sentiment. • Geopolitical headlines and softening inflation readings will be among the most important variables determining the price direction of Bitcoin in the week to come. Bitcoin is still in the middle of world financial headlines as wider economic and geopolitical trends keep shaping investors’ moods. The softening of U.S. inflation figures recently was greeted with temporary relief, as everyone expected the Federal Reserve to ease its attitude. But then all attention moved on to intensifying tensions between the U.S. and Canada after former President Donald Trump revealed new trade tariffs. This evolution has provoked apprehensions within market players, dwarfing the encouraging optimism in the inflation news and promoting wariness across the cryptocurrency sector. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView Meanwhile, interest in Bitcoin remains buoyant, particularly as policy considerations start gaining prominence. In the United States, legislative efforts such as Florida’s bill to shield Trump’s Bitcoin reserve policy and Texas’s effort to invest in digital assets indicate an increased institutional interest in crypto integration. These actions show the changing function of Bitcoin both in state-level planning and in national economic strategy. As the crypto space continues to mature, these kinds of developments might have a substantial impact on long-term adoption and sentiment of Bitcoin beyond price action. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin is now displaying signs of consolidation in a tight range, which reflects market indecision. The price has fluctuated between major levels, implying that traders are waiting for a definitive breakout or breakdown before deciding on a direction. The Parabolic SAR also continues to indicate bearish momentum, and the constricting of Bollinger Bands shows decreasing volatility and a possible sharp move in the future. This accumulation usually leads to large price action, and traders are keenly waiting for a breakout that will set the tone for the upcoming trend—whether bullish or bearish. FORECAST If macro sentiment continues to strengthen, particularly in light of an affirmed Fed rate hold and abating geopolitical concerns, Bitcoin can potentially re-take bullish control. Favorable trends like resumed institutional investment interest, possible investment into Bitcoin ETFs, and positive regulatory measures by states including Florida and Texas might also provide a further thrust upward. If that were the case, BTC might challenge still higher levels of resistance, and a short-term bounce toward $90,000 could be an achievable target. Conversely, if trade war tensions heighten or investor sentiment continues to deteriorate amid ongoing ETF outflows and dwindling trading volumes, Bitcoin might experience a downward correction. Weak retail participation and increasing macroeconomic uncertainty may push prices down to test significant support levels. Under a bearish scenario, BTC might drop into the $75,000 area, particularly if risk-off sentiment prevails across the overall financial markets.

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