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Currencies EUR/USD

EUR/USD Plunges to 1.1700 as Bullish US Data Sends Greenback to 20-Day High

Euro dropped for a second day in a row against the US Dollar, with EUR/USD sliding towards the 1.1700 level as solid US economic data sent the Greenback to a 20-day high. Better-than-anticipated Jobless Claims, GDP, and Durable Goods Orders indicated strong US growth, while Q2 Core PCE inflation crept higher to 2.6%. The positive news supported the Dollar and made it more difficult for near-term Federal Reserve easing expectations, with markets now looking to Friday’s August Core PCE inflation print for new policy signals. KEY LOOKOUTS • The pair is at its weakest since September 11, under pressure from widespread Dollar strength. • Jobless Claims, GDP, and Durable Goods all surpassed estimates, highlighting strong economic momentum. • Q2 Core PCE crept up to 2.6%, maintaining inflation risks in focus. • Friday’s report will influence Federal Reserve policy expectations as well as market sentiment. EUR/USD still under pressure as robust US economic data feeds the Dollar’s strength, driving the pair to the 1.1700 handle. Strong Jobless Claims, above-consensus Q2 GDP, and increasing Durable Goods Orders reflect strong US growth, while Q2 Core PCE inflation of 2.6% reflects ongoing inflationary pressures. Friday’s August Core PCE inflation report will now be in the market’s focus, which can impact the policy direction of the Federal Reserve and decide the timing of any future rate hikes. EUR/USD drops towards 1.1700 as solid US data lifts the Dollar. Strong GDP, Jobless Claims, and Durable Goods point towards strong growth, with markets looking at Friday’s Core PCE inflation for Fed policy signals. • EUR/USD drops to the 1.1700 level, its lowest since September 11. • US Dollar Index (DXY) leaps to a 20-day high at 98.16. • Initial Jobless Claims were 218K, better than forecasted 235K. • Q2 US GDP was upwardly revised to a yearly 3.8%, higher than expectations. • Durable Goods Orders also climbed 2.9% in August, a sign of robust business spending. • Q2 Core PCE inflation rose modestly to 2.6%, a sign of ongoing inflation. • Attention turns to Friday’s release of August Core PCE inflation, important for Fed policy expectations. The Euro has lost ground against the US Dollar for the second day in a row, in response to the influence of positive US economic news. Favorable updates on Jobless Claims, GDP, and Durable Goods Orders point to the strength of the US economy, sending a signal of optimism for the Greenback. This change in sentiment is propelling the Euro to trade around the 1.1700 level, hinting at a cautious bias for the currency pair. EUR/USD DAILY CHART PRICE SOURCE: TradingView Investors are now watching closely for the upcoming economic announcements, specifically the August Core PCE inflation report, which is said to influence the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy actions. The marriage of steady US growth and chronic inflation worries is influencing market expectations as traders weigh potential pace and magnitude of any monetary policy adjustment. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS EUR/USD is probing important support around the 1.1700 psychological level, which has served as a near-term base in recent trading sessions. The pair remains below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reflecting bearish momentum, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remaining close to 40, reflecting potential for additional declines if selling pressure endures. Traders will keep a close eye on whether the pair can sustain above this support or a breakdown below could lead the way to the next technical levels at 1.1650. FORECAST EUR/USD can be expected to experience sustained pressure in the short term if the US Dollar continues to hold on to its strength, bolstered by strong economic reports. A dip below the 1.1700 support can drive the pair towards the subsequent levels of 1.1650–1.1600, indicating bearish strength and guarded Euro sentiments. But any hint at decelerating US inflation or softer-than-expected data will be welcome for the Euro, and a possible bounce back to 1.1750–1.1800 can be expected. The upcoming economic releases, especially the August Core PCE report, will closely be monitored by the traders and could lead to short-term volatility and determine the pair’s direction.

Bitcoin Crypto

Bitcoin Stands Pat at $107K with Sizzling PCE Inflation and Slumping Futures Trading

Bitcoin has stayed steady around the $107,000 level despite the hotter-than-anticipated U.S. core PCE inflation figure in May to 2.7% and potentially impacting the Federal Reserve’s consideration of rate cuts. Market reaction has been subdued with Bitcoin re-consolidating between the $100,000–$110,000 levels as spot and futures trading volumes declined. Analysts indicate that the current dip is indicative of diminishing speculative desire and decreased market momentum, while the wider cryptocurrency market remains soft. Nevertheless, Bitcoin continues to be in a bullish setup so long as it retains major support above $93,000. KEY LOOKOUTS • Core PCE inflation advanced to 2.7% in May, beating expectations and possibly postponing any Federal Reserve rate reductions. • Volumes in spot and futures trading still fall, suggesting fewer participants in the market and lower speculative appetite. • Bitcoin needs to stay above the critical $93,000–$100,000 support area if it is to continue its uptrend and bypass further correction. • Traders are shifting to low-risk options such as futures and spot market arbitrage, pointing to a more risk-averse environment. Bitcoin is trading firmly at levels close to $107,000 in spite of better-than-anticipated U.S. core PCE inflation readings, up to 2.7% in May, that are likely to set back the Federal Reserve’s planned rate cuts. Though the overall crypto market exhibits marginal weakness, Bitcoin has held up well in the $100,000-$110,000 region. However, weakening spot and futures volumes suggest decreased speculative interest and a more conservative market mood. Experts observe that this cool-off phase comes after a wave of profit-taking and may indicate temporary consolidation, as long as Bitcoin remains above the key support area between $93,000 and $100,000. Bitcoin remains firm around $107,000 despite hotter-than-anticipated U.S. core PCE inflation readings, which might stall Fed rate cuts. Trading volumes in both spot and futures have softened, indicating diminished investor appetite and a subdued market tone. • Bitcoin trades at around $107,000 after the publication of above-expectations core PCE inflation figures for May (2.7%). • Inflation surprise may delay the Federal Reserve’s intentions to cut interest rates. • Bitcoin is in consolidation, trading between the $100,000 and $110,000 levels in a general slowdown in the broader market. • Spot trading volume fell from the May high of $76 billion to $52 billion, showing cooling activity. • Futures volumes and funding rates have also dipped, indicating decreased speculative appetite. • According to Glassnode, the market is in a “cool-down phase” following recent profit-taking waves. • Support levels between $93,000 and $100,000 are vital to sustaining the bullish trend. Bitcoin remains relatively immune to the recent U.S. economic data, holding its ground near $107,000 in spite of increasing fears about inflation. The underlying Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index, a closely tracked indicator by the Federal Reserve, increased to 2.7% in May, modestly better than expected. This goes some way to fueling speculation that the Fed could delay any future interest rate reductions. That said, Bitcoin has remained steady, implying that deeper macro pressures have yet to drive meaningful responses from crypto traders. BITCOIN DAILY PRICE CHART SOURCE: TradingView The market, though, is cooling. Activity on both spot and futures markets has tailed off, with volumes significantly lower than highs. Investor sentiment also seems more guarded, with participants being more cautious after a strong round of profit-taking early this year. While excitement might have cooled, Bitcoin’s current price action is illustrating a period of consolidation and stability, with traders choosing to watch rather than act aggressively. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin is still consolidating in a narrow band between $100,000 and $110,000, which indicates uncertainty on the market. Recent bullish surges notwithstanding, momentum indicators are pointing to a slowdown, as dwindling volume and lower futures interest indicate declining buying pressure. The major support area remains between $93,000 and $100,000, which has always been magnets for good investor activity. So long as Bitcoin remains above this range, the larger upside trend continues to hold good; however, a fall below it might lead to an even steeper correction caused by higher selling pressure from those holding positions in this range. FORECAST If Bitcoin holds its support above the $100,000 level and general macroeconomic conditions become more settled, the asset may experience another push toward the $110,000–$115,000 zone. A pickup in trading volume, enhanced investor confidence, or a dovish turn by the Federal Reserve—especially if inflation begins to moderate—will also restart the bullish energy. Moreover, any significant institutional capital inflows or favorable regulatory news will serve as the catalyst for another leg higher in Bitcoin’s current bull cycle. Conversely, a hotter-than-expected PCE report could delay Fed rate cuts as well as fortify the US Dollar and weigh on gold prices. Then, in this instance, gold can struggle to remain above $3,300 and may follow through with losses to the next support levels around $3,245 and $3,200. A clean break below $3,200 may lead to further declines toward $3,175, especially if risk appetite continues to improve and safe-haven demand continues to weaken.