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Bearish Momentum Takes Over: Will Ethereum Recover from the $2,200 Support?

Ethereum (ETH) is experiencing great bearish pressure as whales and long-term holders dump their coins, leading to a massive increase in exchange reserves. With more than 620K ETH dumped in the last five days and exchange deposits well above 500K ETH, bearish pressure has forced prices to battle around the $2,200 support level. Technical indicators such as the RSI and MACD validate strong bearish momentum, with a possible fall to $1,500 if selling continues. The oversold Stochastic Oscillator, however, suggests a possible bounce if ETH can retake key resistance levels. KEY LOOKOUTS • More than 620K ETH sold in five days, mounting bearish pressure and indicating possible further drops in Ethereum’s price. • More than 500K ETH sent to exchanges after February 21, indicating increased selling pressure and a potential test of lower support levels. • RSI and MACD still below neutral, showing ongoing bearish momentum, while the oversold Stochastic Oscillator suggests a potential short-term bounce. • Ethereum struggles at $2,200; inability to hold could send prices lower to $1,500, while a close above $2,850 would negate bearish trends. Ethereum (ETH) comes under increased bear pressure as whales and long-term holders dump enormous quantities of ETH, increasing exchange reserves by more than 500K ETH. Fighting to maintain the $2,200 level of support, ETH stands at the risk of declining to $1,500 in case selling prevails. Technical indicators such as RSI and MACD show strong bear momentum, but an oversold Stochastic Oscillator indicates the likelihood of a short-term recovery. A break above $2,850 would change sentiment to bullish, but for now, traders take a cautious stance with continued sell-offs and uncertainty in the markets. Ethereum finds it difficult to defend the $2,200 level as whales and long-term holders increase selling pressure. A descent to $1,500 cannot be ruled out unless bullish strength returns. • More than 620K ETH sold in five days, which increases bearish momentum and pushes prices towards support levels. • More than 500K ETH sent to exchanges after February 21, reflecting heightened selling pressure and market wariness. • Ethereum struggles to maintain this key support level, with threats of a possible fall to $1,500 if bearish pressure persists. • ETH experienced $231.69 million in 24-hour futures liquidations, with long positions suffering heavy losses. • RSI and MACD still below neutral, affirming strong selling pressure and absence of near-term bullish signals. • Stochastic Oscillator in oversold region indicates potential recovery if market mood changes. • A weekly close above the level may negate the bearish scenario and revive bullish forces for Ethereum. Ethereum is experiencing a considerable change in market dynamics since massive investors such as whales and long-term holders are subjecting it to heavy selling pressure. This trend is responsible for the significant increase in exchange reserves, which means more ETH is being transferred to places where it is traded or liquidated. More institutional and retail investors participating in selling is also an indication that there is a shift in sentiment, with many deciding to lock in profits or reduce potential losses. These kinds of movements show the changing face of Ethereum’s market, with investor psychology and external economic pressures at play. ETHEREUM Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView Amid these shifts, the Ethereum ecosystem continues to evolve, with ongoing developments aimed at strengthening its network and community engagement. The Ethereum Foundation recently introduced the Silviculture Society, an initiative designed to amplify the voices of builders and core community members. This experimental effort reflects Ethereum’s commitment to decentralization and innovation, ensuring that key contributors have a say in its future direction. As the market goes through these changes, Ethereum is still at the forefront of blockchain innovation and continues to be relevant in this increasingly competitive market. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The technical indicators of Ethereum point to the continuation of bearish momentum as price action fails to sustain key support levels. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is still below its neutral level, reflecting ongoing selling pressure, while the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicates a lack of strong bullish momentum. Besides that, the rise in dormant circulation and falling coin age mean that long-term holders are redeploying their holdings, which contributes to market volatility. But the Stochastic Oscillator is well into the oversold territory and indicates a possible near-term rally if the buying recovers. A convincing close above $2,850 could quash the bearish scenario and inspire renewed optimism among bulls. FORECAST Ethereum remains poised for a recovery if sentiment in the market switches in favor of the buyers. The oversold nature as determined by the Stochastic Oscillator also means that ETH may experience short-term recovery as sellers seek to buy in. Moreover, any positive macroeconomic news, clarifications in regulations, or institutional activity could propel renewed upward momentum. If Ethereum can break through significant resistance levels, especially the $2,850 level, it may resume its upward trend and move towards new highs. Greater adoption of Ethereum’s blockchain technology and innovation in the ecosystem, including scalability enhancements and institutional deals, may also support long-term growth. To the downside, Ethereum is still at risk of further drops if whales and long-term holders continue to apply selling pressure. The increase in exchange reserves indicates that additional ETH is being placed for possible liquidation, which can dampen upward momentum. If Ethereum cannot maintain the $2,200 support level, it can continue to lose, potentially testing the $1,500 level. Overall economic conditions, such as inflation fears and worldwide market uncertainty, may also influence investor sentiment, causing extended bearishness. Also, any hiccups or delays in Ethereum’s network updates or regulatory issues would put more downward pressure on the market.

Bitcoin Crypto

Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC Grapples with Multi-Month Low Volatility in the Face of FTX Repayments and Market Volatility

Bitcoin price has been ranging between $94,000 and $100,000 over the last two weeks, with volatility reaching multi-month lows, raising the specter of potential liquidation cascades. The recent slide to $93,388 was precipitated by FTX repayments, as the bankrupt exchange started reimbursing clients with account balances below $50,000. A K33 Research report points out that trading volumes, yields, options premiums, and ETF flows have fallen to levels last witnessed prior to the US Presidential election, indicating a risk-averse market sentiment. As Bitcoin grapples with breaking out of its range, analysts caution that a clear move below $94,000 has the potential to drive prices to the psychological $90,000 level, while a breakout above $100,000 could propel a retest of its January highs. Traders are still undecided, with technical indicators reflecting consolidation and indecision in BTC’s direction. KEY LOOKOUTS • A strong break below $94,000 may lead to a fall to $90,000, while a break above $100,000 might propel a bullish run. • Ongoing customer refunds, amounting to as much as $16.5 billion, may impact Bitcoin’s liquidity and sentiment in the weeks ahead. • Low volatility of BTC is a cause for concern of resultant cascades of liquidations, with speculators waiting for a trigger to a large price shift. • RSI at 42 and MACD convergence indicate consolidation, with speculators looking for a decisive directional breakout in the trend of Bitcoin’s prices. The price of Bitcoin is still in narrow consolidation at $94,000 to $100,000 levels, with volatility at multi-month lows, keeping speculators in the dark. The recent fall to $93,388 was prompted by FTX repayments as the exchange started to reimburse clients, impacting market liquidity. A report by K33 Research points to decreasing trading volumes, yields, and ETF flows as indicative of a risk-averse market sentiment. If Bitcoin drops below $94,000, it may test the psychological $90,000 support level, while a break above $100,000 can result in a retest of January highs. With technical signals indicating indecisiveness, traders are waiting for a catalyst for a clear price direction. Bitcoin is range-trading between $94,000 and $100,000 with volatility at multi-month lows, sparking fears of liquidation risks. FTX repayments have affected market liquidity, with traders waiting for a breakout. A fall below $94,000 may drive BTC to $90,000, while breaking above $100,000 might give rise to a bullish rally. • BTC has been range-bound between $94,000 and $100,000 over the last two weeks, failing to break its range. • The recent price drop was spurred by FTX starting repayments, affecting market liquidity and sentiment among traders. • BTC’s volatility has come down to multi-month lows, which is of concern regarding the possibility of liquidation cascades in case a significant move takes place. • The RSI at 42 and MACD convergence suggest there is no distinct momentum, representing uncertainty in the market. • A breakdown below $94,000 can send BTC towards $90,000, and a breakout above $100,000 can induce a rally. • Slumping trading volumes, ETF flows, and yields mean the traders are holding out for a clear directional move. • There is no immediate bullish catalyst in the offing, so BTC’s next big move will rely on external market events. Bitcoin’s market activity has tempered noticeably, with volatility falling to multi-month lows, reflecting a risk-averse trading climate. One of the influencing factors in the market is recent FTX repayments, wherein the exchange has initiated repayment of customers who had claims worth less than $50,000, and higher repayment amounts are to be initiated shortly. This has brought liquidity changes, which have resulted in shifting trader sentiment. Furthermore, a K33 Research report suggests that volumes of trading, ETF flows, and yields have fallen to their lowest level since prior to the previous U.S. Presidential election, an indication of less market participation and skepticism regarding Bitcoin’s next big move. BITCOIN Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA The current market stage is marked by indecisiveness, as investors wait for clear indications before making big moves. With moderate leverage in the market, the possibility of instant large-scale liquidations is still low, but the absence of strong momentum indicates that traders are following a wait-and-watch strategy. Market sentiment is still guarded, and there are no imminent drivers for significant price action. The medium- to long-term direction of Bitcoin is still subject to macroeconomic conditions, regulatory changes, and institutional investment, all of which will have their say in the next wave of market action. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Technical charts show that Bitcoin is in consolidation, with no obvious momentum to break out. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 42, indicating neutral to weakly bearish sentiment since it cannot break above the 50 level. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) lines are still tightly entwined, indicating uncertainty among traders. The price has been ranging within a tight band, with support and resistance levels controlling short-term actions. Also, CME futures premiums have fallen below 5%, a historically important level that tends to precede changes in market trends. With the current configuration, traders are watching closely for any breakout above or below the consolidation range, which may determine the next major move for Bitcoin. FORECAST If Bitcoin is able to break above the $100,000 resistance level, it may initiate a new bullish momentum, drawing fresh buying interest. A break above this range could lead to a retest of its January high at $106,012, possibly marking the beginning of a more sustained uptrend. Optimism in the market, institutional inflows, and other general economic drivers like regulatory clarity or ETF-based demand might propel this rally further. Historically, Bitcoin has fared well in more robust basis regimes, so an improvement in trading volume and investor sentiment could keep the momentum on the upside. On the negative side, if Bitcoin cannot sustain the $94,000 support level, it may drop further towards the psychologically important $90,000 level. A breakdown below this level could cause stop-loss selling and intensify selling pressure, resulting in further downward movement. Moreover, low volatility and diminishing trading activity mean that a precipitous