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Bitcoin Stays Firm in the Face of Market Uncertainty as Trump and Powell Clash

Bitcoin stays firm slightly under $85,000 in the face of increasing market uncertainty, driven by increasing tensions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell’s hardline approach to interest rates, together with worries about the economic repercussions of Trump’s tariff wars, has caused stagflation fears to bring about a loss of market confidence. Despite these challenges, Bitcoin traders are cautiously optimistic, with a noticeable uptick in bullish bets, particularly calls targeting the $90K to $100K range. However, traders are also hedging against potential downturns, buying put options at the $80K mark. As the VIX remains elevated, indicating ongoing volatility, the market is bracing for more turbulence in the coming months. KEY LOOKOUTS • Monitor the continued feud between President Trump and Fed Chair Powell, as any change in U.S. monetary policy could have a profound effect on Bitcoin and general market sentiment. The possibility of Powell’s firing, despite Trump’s displeasure, continues to be a top concern for investors. •  As Powell issued warnings of possible stagflation, markets are closely monitoring economic signals such as the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index. Any additional indications of slowing economy or accelerating inflation can induce volatility in both conventional and crypto markets. • Investors are taking bullish positions in Bitcoin, and there is a higher demand for calls in the $90K to $100K strikes. This is pointing towards positive expectations regarding Bitcoin’s potential to go higher, but the market is still offsetting this with protection on the downside through put options, which means cautious optimism. • The VIX, an important gauge of market fear, is high, indicating volatility is still persistent. Investors would want to keep a close eye on this since it represents the wider uncertainty of global markets that may affect Bitcoin’s price action in the short term. Bitcoin has held a stable price slightly below $85,000 amidst increasing market uncertainty driven mainly by threats between U.S. President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell’s hawkish interest rate view, combined with fears over Trump’s tariffs possibly leading to stagflation, has made for a volatile economic backdrop, triggering market declines. Bitcoin traders, however, are hopeful, with the number of bullish bets on the price of the cryptocurrency rising to between $90K and $100K. There is, however, greater interest in hedging against the downside via put options at the $80K level, which reflects caution. With the VIX, Wall Street’s fear index, still above its average, the market is preparing for ongoing volatility in the next few months. Bitcoin holds steady just under $85,000 as political tensions between President Trump and Fed Chairman Powell contribute to market uncertainty. While traders are placing bullish bets on Bitcoin’s price rising to higher levels, there is also a significant interest in downside protection, an indicator of cautious optimism in the midst of ongoing volatility. • Bitcoin hovers just short of $85,000 despite uncertainty in the market. • Escalating political tensions between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell are fueling the volatility in the market. • Powell’s latest statements point toward tighter Fed policies, stoking fears of stagflation and economic slowdown. • Markets fell after Powell’s dovish comments, with the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index recording a steep fall. • Investors are placing bullish wagers on Bitcoin, and there is heightened demand for calls with a target of $90K to $100K. • Heightened interest in put options at the $80K level indicates attempts by traders to hedge against potential price drops. • The VIX is still high, pointing to ongoing market volatility and uncertainty in the next few months. Bitcoin is trading flat just below $85,000 as increasing concern over the U.S. economy and geopolitical tensions continues to weigh on investors. These tensions are the result of a clash between President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, with Trump expressing his discontent with the way Powell has managed economic policies. Powell’s emphasis on fighting inflation has sparked stagflation fears, which would result in reduced economic growth and increased prices. Consequently, there is uncertainty in the market, as investors are unsure how these political forces will impact future economic stability. BITCOIN DAILY PRICE CHART CHART SOURCE: TradingView While there are political uncertainties, there is optimism from Bitcoin traders, as many of them are betting on the cryptocurrency to continue growing in value. There is, however, also an undertone of caution, with some traders hedging against possible declines. The market, optimistic regarding Bitcoin’s future, is nevertheless wary, recognizing that the digital currency’s direction may be dramatically altered by larger economic trends and political developments. This represents the nuanced interaction among politics, economic policy, and the crypto market and, therefore, a period of increased uncertainty for investors. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin indicates a market of guarded optimism, with speculators actively seeking bullish positions, especially with calls aimed at the $90K to $100K level for May and June. This reflects anticipation of sustained further advance in Bitcoin’s price, but there is also a significant interest in selling protection, as evident in higher demand for put options at the $80K level. Such a dual strategy is a mirror of traders’ expectations of future price volatility, with most trying to hedge their bullish positions with hedging techniques. The high VIX, a gauge of investor fear, also points to underlying uncertainty, indicating that the market remains vulnerable to wider economic and political events. FORECAST The price of Bitcoin can further go up, fueled by rising demand by traders who expect a bullish trend. The latest interest in call options at the $90K to $100K strikes shows a high conviction that Bitcoin will continue its rally in the next few months. Market sentiment might be driven by favorable news about the global economic environment or easing of the political tensions between President Trump and Fed Chair Powell, which would lead to renewed confidence in the larger market. If these conditions are in sync, Bitcoin may overcome its present resistance levels and move towards new highs. Alternatively, there is a

Bitcoin Crypto

Bitcoin Braces for Volatility Amid Fed Interest Rate Decision and Nvidia Shockwaves

Bitcoin holds around $102,800 after a four-day sell-off as investors await the Fed interest rate decision, which might trigger volatility. Market sentiment is still cautious due to the fact that Nvidia stock has recently dived after the emergence of DeepSeek, an AI search technology firm, thereby spreading its shock waves across crypto markets and sending Bitcoin down 2.6%. Analysts suggest that a dovish Fed stance would favor Bitcoin, whereas a hawkish outlook could be positive for the U.S. dollar and risky assets would feel the pressure. Technical indicators give mixed signals, as RSI shows minor bullish momentum but MACD hints at a downtrend. If Bitcoin drops below $100,000, it may test the $90,000 support level, whereas a breakout can push it toward $109,000. KEY LOOKOUTS • Federal Reserve’s interest rate stand could trigger the volatility of Bitcoin. A dovish stance can pump up the price of BTC, while a hawkish one might strengthen the US dollar and force crypto prices lower. • Bitcoin correlated more with U.S. equities when Nvidia fell by 17% following the increase of DeepSeek. The decline pushed BTC 2.6%. Market nerves remain elevated after the shock. • Bitcoin hovers around $102,800, with RSI signaling mild bullish momentum but MACD showing bearish signs. A drop below $100,000 could test $90,000, while resistance stands at $109,000. • CME futures premiums briefly turned negative, signaling professional traders’ caution. Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) saw net outflows, reflecting a de-risking trend amid broader economic uncertainty. Bitcoin’s price remains at $102,800, facing potential volatility ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. The emergence of DeepSeek has created a sharp stock drop from Nvidia, bringing caution to the crypto market that has led to a 2.6% BTC decline. Technical indicators point in mixed signals as RSI shows mild bullish momentum while MACD hints of a downtrend. Market sentiment gets further shaken up by CME futures turning negative and significant outflows from Bitcoin ETPs. If BTC falls below $100,000, it could test the $90,000 support, or a breakout above could push it towards $109,000. Bitcoin is trading around $102,800 as it awaits the Fed’s interest rate decision. The stock drop of Nvidia and market caution have pressured BTC. Key levels include $90,000 support and $109,000 resistance. • Federal Reserve decision, upcoming could drive Bitcoin volatility, with dovish stance supporting BTC and hawkish tone strengthening the U.S. dollar. • Nvidia stock dropped 17% after the rise of DeepSeek, causing a 2.6% fall in Bitcoin, reflecting the increasing correlation of BTC with the U.S. equities. • RSI is showing a mild bullish momentum, while MACD is pointing towards a potential downtrend. • A breach below $100,000 could push BTC toward $90,000, or a good rally could surge it to $109,000. • CME futures briefly turned negative, indicating careful trading among professionals and reflecting a larger de-risking trend. • Bitcoin ETPs experienced net weekly inflows of 6,698 BTC but had significant outflow worth 6,900 BTC on Monday, which showed how uncertain the market was. • Trump’s push for lower interest rates could impact the Fed’s policy and, in turn, influence Bitcoin’s long-term price trajectory. Bitcoin’s price remains around $102,800, with market participants closely watching the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision, which could trigger significant volatility. A dovish stance from the Fed might support Bitcoin by weakening the U.S. dollar, while a hawkish approach could put downward pressure on risky assets, including crypto. More recently, though, is the 17% stock drop by Nvidia due to the emergence of Chinese AI startup DeepSeek has led to market volatility and dragged Bitcoin down by 2.6%. The correlation in BTC with U.S. equities continues to rise, which means that any crypto price action seems to be depending more on traditional financial market movements. BITCOIN Daily Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA Bitcoin’s price action is increasingly influenced by macroeconomic factors, with the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions, stock market trends, and institutional investor sentiment shaping its trajectory. The growing correlation between BTC and U.S. equities, as seen with Nvidia’s sharp drop impacting Bitcoin, highlights the broader financial market’s influence on crypto assets. Traders are also monitoring the Bitcoin ETPs’ liquidity trend, where outflows in the recent past are indicating a market that is somewhat cautious. On the other hand, the derivatives market, especially the CME futures, indicates professional traders de-risking ahead of the potential volatility. With these dynamics in place, Bitcoin’s short-term price movements will be influenced by external catalysts, technical strength, and market sentiment. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bitcoin’s technical indicator picture is more mixed, at best. There may be both sides to the tale. The Relative Strength Index is reported at 55, bouncing off the neutral midpoint of 50. This tends to suggest slight uptick buying momentum. Nonetheless, the MACD recently formed a bearish crossover, suggesting downward momentum ahead. BTC has been probing its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $98,223. If this break lower is confirmed, it may well accelerate losses towards the next significant support area at $90,000. On the upside, if Bitcoin can stay above $102,000 and continues to build upward momentum, then it could head towards the $109,000 resistance area. With mixed signals from indicators and increasing volatility expected due to macroeconomic events, traders are cautious about the next move for Bitcoin. FORECAST If Bitcoin can stay above the $102,000 support level and gather momentum, a rally toward $109,000 is possible in the near term. A break above this resistance could trigger a stronger bullish move, potentially targeting $115,000 in the coming weeks. The RSI is above 50, and thus, mildly bullish momentum prevails, which shows that buyers are slowly starting to take over. A dovish Federal Reserve policy or a weak U.S. dollar might even add more pressure upwards, driving institutional investors towards Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. A boost in CME futures open interest and inflows into Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) would validate a bullish stance further. On the negative side, in case Bitcoin breaches below $100,000 and closes below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average