Ethereum Price Forecast: Strong Accumulation and Pectra Upgrade Drive Bullish Momentum in the Face of Market Volatility
Ethereum is experiencing a return of bullish sentiment as accumulation strengthens in anticipation of the much-awaited Pectra upgrade. With exchange supply reaching a 10-year low and more than 2.11 million ETH added to accumulation addresses in March alone, investor morale is increasing despite recent price declines. The next Pectra upgrade bringing important upgrades such as transaction batching and gas fee arbitrageability is likely to serve as a powerful driver for price bounce back. Technicals, however, indicate that ETH needs to stay above the key falling trendline, or else it could potentially drop towards $1,800 or even lower. Generally, Ethereum’s fundamentals are strong with increasing interest from the spot and derivative markets. KEY LOOKOUTS • Ethereum in exchange supply is down to 8.71 million ETH 10-year lowest indicating healthy long-term holding appetite and diminished selling pressure. • More than 2.11 million ETH came into accumulation addresses during March showing rising investor faith despite ETH currently below the $2,000 level. • The Pectra upgrade that is scheduled for implementation in the near future can propel a bullish breakout with features such as paying gas fees in ERC-20 tokens and increased staking capacity. Its successful testing on testnets may turn out to be a turning point in ETH’s price action. • ETH is testing support of a descending trendline. If this support fails, Ethereum may drop to $1,800 or even to $1,500, while a bounce may prompt a retest of the $2,070 resistance. Ethereum investors should keep a close eye on a few critical factors influencing the asset’s price trajectory. The sharp decline in exchange supply to a 10-year low reflects strong holding behavior and reduced sell-side pressure, while the addition of over 2.11 million ETH to accumulation addresses in March signals growing investor confidence. The next Pectra upgrade is likely to be a strong bullish driver, providing important enhancements such as gas fee payments in ERC-20 tokens and increased staking limits. Technically, Ethereum is probing a very important descending trendline support—maintaining this level could trigger a bounce towards $2,070, but a breakdown could send prices lower to $1,800 or even $1,500, making it a critical juncture for ETH traders. Ethereum’s exchange supply has fallen to a 10-year low, while accumulation addresses added more than 2.11 million ETH in March, indicating high investor confidence. The pending Pectra upgrade may serve as a strong catalyst, but ETH needs to hold critical support levels to prevent a possible decline to $1,800. • Ethereum price trades above $1,900, buoyed by higher investor demand in March. • ETH exchange supply declines to a 10-year low of 8.71 million ETH, signifying long-term holding sentiment. • Accumulation addresses have added 2.11 million ETH in March, demonstrating robust investor confidence. • Open interest in ETH futures has increased from 9.40M to 10.10M ETH, demonstrating increasing confidence in the derivatives market. • The impending Pectra upgrade is likely to function as a bullish catalyst with functionalities such as ERC-20 token gas fee payment and higher staking limits. • ETH is probing an important declining trendline support; the bounce could bring about a retest of the $2,070 resistance. • Failing to hold the support level can propel ETH to $1,800 or even lower, with potential downside targets around $1,500 should bearish strength persist. Ethereum is attracting new investment attention as its solid fundamentals continue to drive its long-term prospects. Among the most promising developments is the sharp decline in Ethereum’s supply on exchanges, falling to a 10-year low. This indicates that there is more investment in transferring ETH to off-exchange wallets, which is an indication of higher confidence in holding on to the asset in the long term. Moreover, accumulation addresses have contributed more than 2.11 million ETH in March alone, pointing to increased interest from owners who believe there is future potential for growth with Ethereum. ETHEREUM Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView Fueling this momentum further is the highly awaited Pectra upgrade, which promises to bring significant upgrades to the Ethereum network. The upgrade will add features like transaction batching, payments of gas fees in other ERC-20 tokens, sponsored transactions, and higher staking limits. These additions are meant to enhance Ethereum’s scalability, efficiency, and user experience. With a solid foundation of investor confidence and ongoing development, Ethereum is positioning itself as a strong and dynamic platform in the crypto universe. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Ethereum is currently sitting just below a significant down trendline, which has emerged as a crucial level for market players to monitor. If ETH holds firm above this trendline, it will signal a possible change in direction and open up potential for higher prices to the previous resistance areas. Traders should also pay close attention to key support areas, though, as a fall below these levels can encourage further selling pressure. Indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator are yielding neutral to somewhat bearish signs, implying that ETH is in a decisive situation where the following price movement will be primarily dictated by sentiment and volume activity. FORECAST If Ethereum can sustain the existing momentum and investor accumulation increases, the price can experience a progressive upward move. The future Pectra upgrade is likely to serve as a solid bullish driver, potentially drawing additional users and developers to the network. Successful testnet rollout and subsequent mainnet release might enhance market sentiment and drive ETH towards higher levels of resistance. More institutional attention, increasing adoption, and a more scalable network might also provide a foundation for a prolonged rally in the medium to long term. On the other hand, if Ethereum cannot maintain its present support levels or encounters setbacks or troubles in the Pectra upgrade deployment, it might experience downward pressure. Poor global market fundamentals, diminished trading volume, or general crypto market corrections could also trigger a reduction in ETH price. Also, if on-chain metrics such as slowdown in accumulation or exchange supply begin to reverse, it can be an indicator that investor sentiment is changing, and the correction might begin toward lower price