Ethereum’s Explosive 21% Surge: Spot Market Investors and Key Technical Levels Drive ETH’s Recovery
Ethereum (ETH) experienced a remarkable 21.8% surge on Thursday, marking its highest single-day gain since May 2021, driven by a surge in buying pressure from crypto-native spot investors. This rally was further supported by a significant 180,000 ETH withdrawal from exchanges, highlighting the growing confidence among investors. While the surge took place, Ethereum ETFs incurred outflows, and the rally was not driven by high leverage or ETF usage. Activation of the Pectra upgrade and reforms in the Ethereum Foundation also underpinned a positive sentiment shift. With ETH targeting resistance levels of $2,500 and $2,850, technical indicators point to further potential, although a weekly close below $1,680 would render the bullish forecast invalid. KEY LOOKOUTS • The recent rally was predominantly fueled by crypto-native spot investors, with a whopping 180,000 ETH being withdrawn from exchanges within a mere 24 hours, reflecting growing investor confidence and draining market liquidity. • ETH needs to break above major resistance levels of $2,500 and $2,850 to maintain its upward trend. A successful breakout above these levels may set the stage for additional price appreciation, while a failure to break above them could lead to a short-term correction. • Ethereum’s positive sentiment surged with the activation of the Pectra upgrade, which enhances user experience, staking efficiency, and scalability, driving more interest and activity on the network. • A weekly close below the $1,680 support level would make the current bullish thesis invalid, potentially pushing ETH to the next significant support at $1,400, and emphasizing the need to hold above this level to sustain bullish momentum. Ethereum’s recent 21.8% rally was chiefly led by an increase in crypto-native spot buyers’ buying pressure, which saw more than 180,000 ETH leaving the exchanges over 24 hours as investors bet big on greater investor confidence. Throughout the rally, Ethereum ETFs saw further net outflows, and momentum was not triggered by leverage or ETF activity. Technical indicators are currently targeting major resistance levels at $2,500 and $2,850, and ETH must break these levels for a long-term upward trend. The activation of the Pectra upgrade has also seen a positive sentiment change, increasing interest in the network. Nevertheless, a weekly close below $1,680 would negate the bullish scenario, and the price may correct to $1,400. Ethereum’s latest 21.8% rally was driven by spot market investors pulling huge amounts of ETH out of exchanges, which indicates increasing confidence. With critical resistance levels at $2,500 and $2,850 within reach, Ethereum’s upward momentum may carry on if it manages to stay above $1,680; otherwise, a pullback will ensue. • Ethereum recorded its largest single-day increase since May 2021, going up 21.8% on Thursday. • Crypto-native spot buyers led the rally, with 180,000 ETH being exchanged out of exchanges within 24 hours. • Abraxas Capital transferred more than 138,000 ETH from Kraken and Binance in the last few days, indicating institutionally driven buying. • Ethereum’s Weighted Sentiment jumped to a record 5.2 in May 2024, with the Pectra upgrade activation. • In spite of the price rally, US spot Ether ETFs saw net outflows, suggesting that the rally was not fueled by ETF flows or leverage. • Ethereum needs to overcome the resistance levels of $2,500 and $2,850 for further bullish momentum, with the 100-week SMA reinforcing the levels. • A weekly close below the price of $1,680 would rule out the bullish scenario, likely taking ETH to the $1,400 support level. Ethereum recently saw a major rally, with its price rising 21.8% in one day, the biggest jump since May 2021. The rally was mainly driven by intense buying interest from crypto-native investors who pulled huge quantities of ETH out of exchanges, indicating faith in the asset’s long-term worth. Furthermore, the activation of the Pectra upgrade on Ethereum’s mainnet also helped in driving sentiment positively as the upgrade sees enhanced staking efficiency and user experience. Institutional investment was also evident, with huge withdrawals on big exchanges such as Binance and Kraken, showing increased interest from both individual and institutional investors. ETHEREUM DAILY PRICE CHART CHART SOURCE: TradingView This price action is during a heightened optimism surrounding Ethereum as active addresses on the network continue to rise, further underscoring the uptick in user and investor activity. The positivity around Ethereum is further bolstered by its continuous developments, such as network updates and organizational shifts within the Ethereum Foundation. As the ecosystem matures, the recent price spike serves to illustrate the resilience and potential of Ethereum within the dynamic cryptocurrency landscape. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Ethereum’s recent price surge is testing crucial resistance levels at $2,500 and $2,850, which are key for determining whether the current bullish momentum will continue. The price has already encountered a rejection near the $2,500 level, strengthened by the 100-week Simple Moving Average (SMA), but a breakthrough above these levels could signal further upward movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is now testing its neutral level, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is trading around its neutral line, indicating that ETH’s bullish momentum may increase if these indicators cross above their respective neutral levels. But a weekly close below $1,680 would nullify the bullish scenario, and the price might pull back towards the $1,400 support area. FORECAST Ethereum’s recent surge has set it up to potentially break above important resistance levels at $2,500 and $2,850. If these levels are broken, ETH may see a strong surge upward, furthering its recovery to higher price levels. Favorable momentum may be further enhanced by ongoing interest from spot market investors and the implementation of the Pectra upgrade, which increases scalability and staking efficiency. If technical indicators such as the RSI and MACD continue to strengthen, there is a likelihood of ETH breaking above these key levels, with the next potential target being $3,000 or higher, given the bullish sentiment in the market. Alternatively, Ethereum’s recent price action may be subjected to a pullback if it is unable to break above the $2,500 and $2,850 resistance levels. A rejection here would result in a short-term correction,