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Ethereum Price Forecast: Will ETH Plunge to $1,200 Amid Trade War Tensions?

Ethereum’s price is facing downward pressure as global trade war tensions rise following former U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on multiple countries. The cryptocurrency declined by 4%, mirroring losses in the stock market, with the S&P 500 also dropping significantly. Analysts are warning that if Ethereum breaks below the $2,150 support level and a descending channel’s lower boundary, it could drop to $1,200. However, bearish momentum, as indicated by RSI and Stochastic Oscillator readings, is not translating into net inflows for Ethereum ETFs, which have been better than Bitcoin ETFs, at least. The coming week will be critical as market sentiment is expected to shift with Trump’s trade policies, which are going to impact both traditional and digital assets. KEY LOOKOUTS • A breakdown below this key support level may lead to a sharp fall toward the $1,200 price zone. • The market is waiting for Trump’s next move on reciprocal tariffs, which may further increase selling pressure on ETH and other risk-sensitive assets. • Ethereum’s price is increasingly mirroring the S&P 500, meaning further stock market losses could accelerate ETH’s decline in the coming days. • Despite the bearish trends, Ethereum ETFs have performed better than Bitcoin ETFs, which may indicate investor confidence that can stabilize prices. Ethereum’s price trend is still uncertain as it is hovering near key support levels amidst rising global trade tensions. Former U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs has triggered a market-wide sell-off, with Ethereum falling 4% and the S&P 500 plummeting. Failure to hold at the crucial support level of $2,150 could send ETH to a subsidence towards $1,200. But ETF inflows have been increasing lately; this does gain some institutional confidence and signals stabilization in prices. With these correlations moving up between Ethereum and traditional markets, economic developents and decisions of Trump will be the next points in the deciding direction for Ethereum. Ethereum is under downward pressure as Trump’s tariff plans rattle markets, and ETH has fallen 4% with the stocks. If it breaks the support level of $2,150, then a fall to $1,200 is likely. Meanwhile, strong ETF inflows indicate institutional confidence, which may stabilize the price. • ETH fell sharply after Trump announced reciprocal tariffs, similar to the stock market losses. • If ETH breaks below this critical level, it may lead to a further fall to $1,200. • Price action of Ethereum tracks the S&P 500 quite closely as its linkages to traditional markets intensify • Market mood remains bearish on account of heightened trade tension and potential jolts in the economy. • Despite sharp declines, net inflows of more than $420 million are witnessed in the case of Ethereum ETFs and surpassed Bitcoin. • RSI and Stochastic Oscillator signals a continuation of bearish sentiment. The latter further increases the prospects of going south. • The ETH can bounce back and make its way toward higher values if it sustains above the support and breaks through the resistance line at $2,817. Ethereum’s price continues to come under strong bearish pressure due to former U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent announcement of imposing reciprocal tariffs on several countries. This sent ripples in global markets. It has shed 4%, following the traditional market losses. For instance, S&P 500 plummeted highly. This would mean that if Ethereum fails to hold the strong support level at $2,150, then the decline may easily reach the next target of $1,200. Technical indicators like RSI and Stochastic Oscillator confirm bearish momentum; hence, ETH may fail to regain upward momentum unless market sentiment somehow improves. Ethereum Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA Despite the negative price action, Ethereum ETFs have outperformed Bitcoin ETFs, recording over $420 million in net inflows compared to Bitcoin’s $32.5 million. Institutional investors still see value in Ethereum despite short-term volatility. However, ETH remains highly correlated with the stock market, meaning further declines in equities could accelerate its downward trend. Key levels on the charts which traders must keep an eye open for are at support and resistance, with the bounce from this $2,150 zone and a break over $2,817 making for the big, next, substantial price movements by Ethereum. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Ethereum’s technical is bearish since the current fall is at testing the lower edge of the downward channel. Thus, failure in holding that very important support in the vicinity of $2,150 can allow a steeper fall into $1,200. The RSI and Stochastic Oscillator are well below their respective neutral levels, which means a strong bearish momentum is intact. Furthermore, in the past 24 hours, Ethereum had liquidations in futures worth $65.43 million, an indicator of high market uncertainty. If ETH is able to rebound off the support and break the $2,817 resistance level, it can move towards the reversal, likely hitting $4,500 long-term. FORECAST Ethereum has a pretty good chance for a strong pullback if this holds the significant support levels. If ETH was able to jump off the supporting zone at around $2,150 and pass the resistance marked at $2,817 then it could prove to be quite a reversal move. A bounce above the line of the downward channel could see a further upside towards the psychological level of $4,500. Institutional interest remains strong, as evidenced by the recent $420 million net inflows into Ethereum ETFs, suggesting that long-term investors see value in ETH despite short-term volatility. Additionally, if broader market sentiment improves and risk assets recover, Ethereum could benefit from a renewed bullish phase. Ethereum faces significant risks if it fails to hold the crucial $2,150 support level. A break below this level might extend the sell-off, pushing ETH down toward $1,200. The increasing correlation of Ethereum with the S&P 500 indicates that further declines in traditional markets will drag their prices lower and keep crypto prices lower as well. Bearish technical signs for the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator mainly indicate selling pressure over here. Moreover, if Trump’s trade policies continue to intensify global economic tensions, risk assets such as Ethereum may

Crypto Ethereum

Ethereum Faces Leadership Challenges: Lido Co-founder Proposes Second Foundation

A new wave of criticism toward the leadership of the Ethereum Foundation has resulted in the co-founder of Lido, Konstantin Lomashuk, proposing a “Second Foundation” to settle community concerns. Therefore, some key issues are leadership change calls, centralization fears, and dissatisfaction with the road map holding a roll-up-centric position. Meanwhile, the price of Ethereum is poised for a 20% rally if it can break through the important resistance levels at $3,550 and $3,770, with support firmly held at $3,216. More buzz comes in as Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial has staked 10,000 ETH, putting it in the top 0.1% stETH holders, marking growing interest in Ethereum’s staking ecosystem. KEY LOOKOUTS • Lido’s co-founder suggests a spin-off organization to address Ethereum community concerns, focusing on leadership changes, decentralization, and roadmap adjustments for improved scalability. • Ethereum’s price could surge 20% if it overcomes critical resistance levels near $3,550 and $3,770, backed by strong support at $3,216. • Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial has entered the top 0.1% stETH holders by staking 10,000 ETH, signaling growing confidence in Ethereum’s staking protocol. • While the Second Foundation proposal gains traction, some members question its necessity, urging a balance between existing Ethereum Foundation goals and broader ecosystem representation. The Ethereum ecosystem is at a critical juncture, with growing calls for leadership changes within the Ethereum Foundation prompting Lido co-founder Konstantin Lomashuk to propose a “Second Foundation” to address decentralization and roadmap concerns. While this initiative is meant to promote wider community representation, it has elicited mixed reactions, with some questioning its necessity. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s price is promising, trading near $3,260 with a potential 20% rally if key resistance levels at $3,550 and $3,770 are breached. Adding to the momentum, Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial recently staked 10,000 ETH, putting it in the top 0.1% stETH holders and showing growing confidence in Ethereum’s staking ecosystem. Ethereum is criticized by leadership as Lido’s co-founder suggests a “Second Foundation” to counter decentralization concerns. Meanwhile, ETH has the potential for a 20% rally, trading near $3,260 with staking interest growing as World Liberty Financial stakes 10,000 ETH. • The Ethereum Foundation is criticized for leadership issues and centralization, but also for their roll-up-orientated roadmap for scaling • Lido co-founder Konstantin Lomashuk proposes the need for a “Second Foundation” for better representation within the ecosystem as well as higher decentralization. • Ethereum Co-founder supports growing more organizations as representatives of portions of Ethereum the Foundation cannot fulfill. • Such a proposal led to a healthy debate, seeing it as an Ethereum bull’s call, as well as criticizing its necessity. • Ethereum may jump 20% if it breaks above the key resistance at $3,550 and $3,770, with strong support at $3,216. • Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial staked 10,000 ETH, making it one of the top 0.1% stETH holders, which boosted confidence in Ethereum staking. • RSI and Stochastic Oscillator indicate mixed momentum, with bearish pressure still dominating but room for a potential breakout. Meanwhile, a heated community debate is centered on the fate of Ethereum with rising criticism now toward the leadership within the Ethereum Foundation. Concerns over centralization, selling activity, and a roll-up-centric scaling roadmap prompted calls for significant changes, including the resignation of Executive Director Aya Miyaguchi. In response to the debate, Lido co-founder Konstantin Lomashuk suggested a “Second Foundation” as a solution to fill these gaps and improve ecosystem representation. The co-founder of Ethereum, Vitalik Buterin, also chimed in and suggested that the Ethereum Foundation should focus on areas where it can be effective while fostering other organizations to represent the broader aspects of the blockchain network. Such a proposal is receiving mixed reactions; some welcome this step forward, while others question the necessity. ETHEREUM Daily Price Chart. Source: TradingView Prepared By ELLYANA Meanwhile, the price of Ethereum has shown some promise and traded near $3,260, with the potential to rally 20% if it breaks key resistance levels at $3,550 and $3,770. Strong support at $3,216 has held firm, and a breakout above the descending trendline could propel ETH toward the $4,100 level. Adding to the momentum, Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial has recently staked 10,000 ETH, making it one of the top 0.1% stETH holders, highlighting growing confidence in Ethereum’s staking protocol. However, bearish pressure remains slightly dominant, as indicated by technical metrics like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator, leaving the market in a critical state of anticipation. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS This brings in a technical point of view on the technicals in Ethereum, trading at about $3,260. It finds its major support at $3,216, while 100-day and 50-day SMAs work out to be strong immediate supports and resistances around $3,200–$3,550. If ETH can break past the trend line formed since 16th Dec, then one might see it take off into a 20% move. In that scenario, ETH can head to resistance at $4,100. However, relative strength index sits slightly below a neutral position still showing bear pressure, and stochastics’ oscillator is relatively above the zero line, neutral, but giving mixed momentum. Below the daily low of $2,817 cancels the Bullish thesis hence $3,000 psychological buy level to start collecting liquidity while reversing. FORECAST There is a good possibility of an upward move if Ethereum can break above the descending trendline resistance around $3,550. A daily close above this level may open the way for a rally to $3,770 and then to $4,100, driven by increased market confidence and technical momentum. The support at $3,216 is a critical foundation for a bullish breakout, as it has held against bearish pressures consistently. Positive market sentiment, combined with ongoing staking interest, such as the recent 10,000 ETH stake by Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial, adds to the potential for upward movement. A sustained rally may attract more investors, increasing buying pressure and driving prices toward new local highs. On the downside, Ethereum is at risk if it cannot hold above the $3,216 support level, with the next key level of interest at $3,000. A