Forex Trading Tools and Services

Commodities Gold

Gold Stands Steady Over $3,000 in Face of Trump’s Secondary Tariffs and Nerves in Markets

Gold is standing firm over the $3,000 level amid markets processing U.S. President Donald Trump’s recently implemented secondary tariffs against countries importing Venezuelan oil. While reciprocals are being relaxed for countries reshoring manufacturing, fresh tariffs on autos, aluminum, and pharmaceuticals are imminent, further driving market uncertainty. Gold-backed ETFs are drawing growing interest, reflecting robust demand for bullion. At the same time, Trump’s import tariffs on Chinese-built ships are causing unease in the US agricultural industry. Gold is technically under resistance at $3,046, with the level of support at $2,997, so the $3,000 level is an essential barrier to holding its upward momentum. KEY LOOKOUTS • The $3,000 level continues to be a vital support level; below that may see further selling pressure. • Markets are observing closely the implications of Trump’s 25% secondary tariffs on those who import Venezuelan oil, notably China and India. • Rising demand for gold-backed ETFs shows increasing investor bullishness towards bullion, which could underpin higher prices. • Impending tariffs on autos, aluminum, and pharmaceuticals could generate additional market volatility and affect global trade flows. Gold prices are still in the spotlight as markets weigh the implications of U.S. President Donald Trump’s secondary tariffs against nations that are buying Venezuelan oil, including India and China. As gold remains above the pivotal $3,000 level of support, investors are anticipating signs of a breakout or further selling pressure. The increase in bullion-backed ETF inflows is an indicator of growing demand that may sustain higher prices. Meanwhile, Trump’s plan to impose new tariffs on cars, aluminum, and pharmaceuticals adds to market uncertainty, potentially influencing broader commodity trends and global trade relations. Gold remains above the significant $3,000 level as markets respond to Trump’s follow-on tariffs against nations purchasing Venezuelan oil. Growth in demand for gold-backed ETFs indicates investor demand, but the imposition of tariffs on main sectors in the future contributes further to global trade uncertainty. Speculators are eyeing a breakdown or fresh selling pressure in the next few days. • Residing above this level is central to maintaining positive momentum. • Markets are weighing the effect of fresh 25% tariffs on nations purchasing Venezuelan oil. • More investment in bullion-backed ETFs indicates increased faith in gold. • Traders are looking for a break above resistance at $3,046 or a fall below support at $2,997. • Fresh tariffs on automobiles, aluminum, and drugs might fuel further market instability. • More tariffs on Chinese-built ships might hinder U.S. agriculture exports. • The next significant resistance level is still a primary target for bullish momentum. Gold is still in the limelight as markets respond to U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent economic policies, especially the imposition of secondary tariffs. The tariffs, imposed on nations that continue to buy oil from Venezuela, are likely to affect large economies such as China and India. The action marks a transition from tit-for-tat tariffs to a more strategic one designed to apply economic pressure without explicit trade confrontation. Trump has also suggested additional tariffs on automobiles, aluminum, and drugs, further clouding global markets. The policy change could have far-reaching implications for international trade and investment flows, shaping market sentiment towards safe-haven assets such as gold. XAU/USD DAILY PRICE CHART CHART SOURCE: TradingView Investor sentiment in gold is evident through the rising inflows into bullion-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), indicating firm demand for the commodity. As geopolitical tensions continue to increase and trade restrictions undergo a transformation, investors are finding refuge in gold as a hedge against economic volatility. Mergers and acquisitions within the gold mining industry are also receiving more focus, such as Gold Fields’ $3.3 billion offer for Gold Road Resources. While central banks and institutional investors watch these trends, the long-term role for gold as a safe-haven store of value continues unabated in the midst of changing global policy and market forces. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold is consolidating above the critical $3,000 support level, with the focus on resistance levels for a breakout. The near-term resistance is at $3,028, then a firmer barrier at $3,046, close to last week’s highs. If gold breaks above this level, it may retest its all-time high of $3,057. On the downside, support at $2,997 is pivotal, and a break below this level may invite further selling pressure. The absence of robust support below $3,000 creates fear of downside risks, so this level becomes a battleground for traders. With tariff news driving market volatility, gold price action is likely to remain active in the near term. FORECAST The bullish trend in gold is intact as long as it remains above the key $3,000 level. If the buying pressure persists, a break above $3,046 could set the stage for a retest of the all-time high at $3,057. Persistent buying from gold-backed ETFs and rising geopolitical tensions, especially from U.S. trade policies, may add support for further gains. In case gold crosses its current high, the next possible resistance zone may be seen around $3,075–$3,100, thanks to robust investor sentiment and safe-haven buying. On the flip side, gold is exposed to breaking below the $3,000 psychological support level, which may induce further selling pressure. If prices fall to below $2,997, the next level of support stands at $2,984, at which point buyers might try to shore up the market. Further decline would bring a possible move to $2,950, particularly if investor optimism falters from further relief on trade tensions or more robust U.S. economic indicators. Lacking solid support points under $3,000, any sudden plunge could fuel losses in the near term.

Commodities Gold

Gold Prices Rise Despite Market Uncertainty: Investors Look to Fed Rate Reductions and Central Bank Buying

Gold prices are poised to post a weekly gain of more than 0.80%, following a Friday dip, as investors absorb soft US Retail Sales data and declining Treasury yields. The US Dollar declined, boosting bullion’s appeal, while markets factored in more than a single Federal Reserve rate reduction, further bolstering gold’s longer-term prospects. Central bank buying continues to be robust, with more than 1,000 tons purchased for the third year in a row, supporting gold’s bullishness. Technically, XAU/USD is still in an uptrend, with support at $2,850 and resistance around its all-time high of $2,942. Traders continue to watch FOMC minutes and upcoming economic releases for additional price guidance. KEY LOOKOUTS • Multiple Fed rate cuts are being priced in by investors, enhancing gold’s attractiveness as the lowering of interest rates lessens the opportunity cost of holding bullion. • A weakening US Dollar, caused by disappointing retail sales, is making gold look more attractive as a safe-haven asset with economic uncertainty. • Central banks worldwide continue heavy gold purchases at more than 1,000 tons for the third year running, strengthening long-term bullish trend. • Gold has crucial resistance at $2,942, with the potential breakout point at $3,000, and support at $2,850 and $2,790 in the event of pullbacks. Gold continues to be poised for significant gains as several factors underpin its bullish trend. Disappointingly low US Retail Sales have stoked a dip in the US Dollar, bolstering gold’s safe-haven status. Investors are increasingly pricing in Federal Reserve rate cuts, lowering Treasury yields and making non-yielding assets such as gold more appealing. Moreover, central bank buying is still going through the roof, with more than 1,000 tons of gold purchased for the third year in a row, bolstering demand. Technically, although gold encounters resistance at its all-time high of $2,942, a breakout has the potential to drive prices to the $3,000 level, while support levels are critical at $2,850 and $2,790. Gold will close the week with strong gains in spite of Friday’s decline, propelled by softer US Retail Sales, weakening US Dollar, and rising Fed rate cut probabilities. Central bank buying keeps surging, supporting long-term fundamentals. Strong resistance at $2,942, with a possible breakout to $3,000. • Gold will close the week 0.80% higher in spite of a Friday pullback, demonstrating exceptional bullish sentiment. • Weaker-than-projected US Retail Sales caused a weakening US Dollar, improving gold’s safe-haven demand. • Investors expect several Federal Reserve rate cuts, lowering Treasury yields and making gold even more appealing. • Global central banks bought more than 1,000 tons of gold for the third year in a row, consolidating long-term bullish pressure. • The Greenback reached yearly lows, supporting higher gold prices further. • Major resistance is at $2,942, with the possibility of moving towards $3,000 if the buyers are able to maintain momentum. • Gold’s nearest support is at $2,850, then key levels at $2,790 and $2,730 in the event of a retracement. Gold is set to end the week with robust gains of 0.80%, despite Friday’s pullback, as investors respond to softer US Retail Sales and declining Treasury yields. The US Dollar has depreciated strongly, touching all-time lows on a yearly basis, and has further improved gold’s position as a safe haven. Second, investors now have priced in several Federal Reserve rate cuts, resulting in bond yields falling and making non-yielding assets such as gold attractive. Central bank demand also continues to be a primary driving force, as more than 1,000 tons of gold bought for the third year running continues its long-term bullish impetus. XAU/USD Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA Gold is to close out the week on firm gains of 0.80%, even after Friday’s pullback, as softer US Retail Sales and a falling US Dollar enhance its safe-haven status. Investors are now factoring in several Federal Reserve rate cuts, causing Treasury yields to decline and further bolstering the long-term picture for gold. Central banks continued their aggressive gold buying, fueling the optimism. On the technical side, gold is supported at $2,942 with a possible breakout to $3,000, while critical supports are $2,850 and $2,790. Market players now wait for the FOMC minutes to see what else they might indicate regarding monetary policy direction. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The technical outlook for gold is still bullish, even as the metal pulls back recently, trading currently close to $2,883 following a two-day low of $2,878. The uptrend continues intact provided buyers protect crucial support points starting at $2,850, then $2,790 and $2,730. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved out of overbought levels, indicating a possible consolidation before the next move higher. If gold is able to break above the $2,900 level, the next important resistance is at the all-time high of $2,942, with an extension possible towards the psychological $3,000 level. Traders will watch price action and future economic releases closely for additional confirmation of trend direction. FORECAST Gold prices’ bullish run is still on as a number of underlying and technical drivers remain in favor of higher prices. If the purchasing interest can propel gold above the $2,900 mark, the next threshold to watch is the all-time high price of $2,942. A move above this may cause additional gains towards the psychological level of $3,000. With investors already factoring in several Federal Reserve rate reductions and central banks still making robust gold purchases, the longer-term picture is still positive. Moreover, persistent US Dollar weakness and lower Treasury yields add to the support, and gold is a good hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. While the overall trend is positive, gold is subject to potential downside risks from profit-taking and important support levels being tested. If the metal dips below $2,850, more declines would send it to the October 31 cycle high support at $2,790, and then to the next important level at $2,730. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved out of overbought levels, which means there could be a short-term correction. If US economic indicators surprise on the upside