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Commodities Silver

Silver Price Outlook: XAG/USD Falls Below $33.00 as Bullish Momentum Fades

The price of silver has fallen in recent times, with sentiment in the market indicating caution as the price is unable to break above major levels despite attempts by buyers. While bullish momentum fades, there is still hope for a rebound, subject to the broader economic environment, such as US yields and investor sentiment. The valuable metal remains under close scrutiny by market players as its behavior is still linked to changing variables beyond mere trends in price-action. While uncertainties still persist, the future of silver hangs in the balance of larger macroeconomic trends that may influence demand and investor tactics in the immediate future. KEY LOOKOUTS • XAG/USD needs to overcome the $33.20 resistance to affirm a reversal, with failure to stay above $33.00 potentially pointing towards more downward pressure. • A fall beneath the important $32.00 support level may set off more losses, with the 100-day SMA at $31.12 being a crucial buffer. • The RSI indicates contradictory signs, revealing the loss of bullish strength; should the decline continue, it would be able to generate prolonged pressure on silver prices. • Steadily rising US yields and decreasing market momentum indicate that technical resistance around $33.39 would become an obstacle to any future upside move in case buying interest wavers. XAG/USD needs to breach the $33.20 resistance level to validate a bullish reversal, as not being able to hold above $33.00 might indicate further bearish momentum. A drop below the crucial $32.00 support might lead to further losses, with the 100-day SMA at $31.12 acting as a crucial safety net. The RSI indicates conflicting signals, with diminishing bullish strength; if the downtrend persists, it could result in prolonged pressure on silver’s price. Elevating US yields and sagging market momentum imply that technical resistance around $33.39 might become an obstacle for any subsequent uptrend if buyer enthusiasm declines. XAG/USD has to penetrate the $33.20 hurdle to confirm a reversal in favour of bulls, whereas dropping below the $32.00 level may instigate more selling pressure. Mixed indications from the RSI and surging US yields reflect continuing headwinds to silver’s upswing. • Silver declined 1.20% to $32.54 after unable to sustain the pivotal $33.00 level. • The RSI shows conflicting signals, with positive signs being balanced by a declining slope. • Breaking the $33.20 resistance is essential for a continuation of the bullish trend. • Further resistance is seen at $33.39, which may lead the way to $34.00 if broken. • A fall below the $32.00 support could initiate further bear pressure. • The 100-day SMA at $31.12, then the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, serve as major support levels. • Dipping US yields have helped induce a risk-averse market mood, affecting the performance of silver. The silver price (XAG/USD) has declined 1.20%, dropping back to $32.54 after unable to remain above the significant $33.00 threshold. The dissipation of bullish strength, as signified by the RSI, indicates ambiguous momentum. Recent sessions have had silver settle around $32.54, a demonstration of tepid sentiment adjustment in the marketplace. In spite of positive moves for U.S. Treasury yields, investor sentiment was seemingly tempered, and silver didn’t take complete advantage of the favorable activity across the wider financial markets. XAG/USD Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView In the future, market participants are all about the general economic climate as the main source of inspiration for silver’s upcoming performance. Experts closely follow worldwide economic indicators and overall market trends, implying that the revival of investor sentiment can become a deciding factor in the direction of the metal’s outlook for the next few weeks. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Silver’s recent price action indicates a bearish perspective. The metal has fallen back to $32.54 after it could not hold above the pivotal $33.00 mark, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sending mixed messages—a positive reading balanced against a declining momentum trend. Traders are keenly watching a resistance level at $33.20, where breaking through may revive the bull trend, and support close to the 100-day Simple Moving Average at $31.12 remains important if the price keeps falling. FORECAST If silver is able to regain its momentum, a sustained break above the $33.20 resistance level would indicate the beginning of a new bullish trend. This break could set the stage for the metal to move towards higher levels, including the $33.39 level and even challenge the $34.00 level. Such a rising trend would most probably be cushioned by a change in investor attitude and positive economic indicators, prompting buyers to intervene and force the price upwards. Silver remains exposed to further declines if it cannot maintain its current support levels. A slip below the $32.00 threshold could trigger additional selling pressure, with the 100-day SMA near $31.12 providing a critical support zone. In this scenario, persistent weakness in market sentiment combined with ongoing economic uncertainties could lead to a deeper retracement, necessitating careful monitoring of price action and key technical indicators for signs of stabilization.

Commodities Silver

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Remains Under Pressure Near $30 as US Dollar Surge and Nervous Market Sentiment Weigh on the Metal

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading with caution near $30.00, as a surge in the US Dollar and Treasury yields continue to weigh on the upside of the metal. The global market sentiment is risk-averse since technology stocks experienced a sharp sell-off due to fear of competition from cheap AI models coming out of China. This has increased safe-haven demand for the US Dollar, pushing the Dollar Index near 108.00. Technically, Silver is holding above its 200-day EMA at $29.50, indicating a broadly bullish trend, but struggles near key resistance levels around $30.40 and $30.90. Investors await the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement and Jerome Powell’s guidance for clues on interest rate trajectory, which could further influence Silver prices. KEY LOOKOUTS • A strong US Dollar Index near 108.00 amid safe-haven demand could continue to weigh on Silver prices, limiting upside potential despite global market jitters. • Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates steady and Jerome Powell’s guidance on the future policy trajectory, impacting bond yields and Silver trends. • It is facing immediate resistance near $30.90, the upside trendline; and near the area of the 50-day EMA located at $30.40. • Overall, risk aversion, linked to the latest round of sell off in technology-related stocks and heightened competition from Chinese AI, serves to perpetuate safe havens such as the US dollar and Silver. Silver (XAG/USD) is under pressure near the $30.00 mark, as a surge in the US Dollar and treasury yields weigh on the metal’s upside momentum. The DXY index has risen to near 108.00 on safe-haven demand due to global selling in tech stocks and increased risk aversion in the market. On the technical side, Silver finds resistance near the 50-day EMA at $30.40 and an upward-sloping trendline around $30.90. The 200-day EMA has provided support around $29.50. The investors are watching out for the Federal Reserve monetary policy statement and Chairman Jerome Powell’s assessment that might make a big difference to the Silver direction in the near term. Silver (XAG/USD) is trading cautiously around $30.00 as the stronger US Dollar and increasing Treasury yields keep upside in check. Investors await the Federal Reserve’s policy decision for further market cues. • Silver (XAG/USD) is trading around $30.00 in a jittery market with increasing US Dollar strength. • Dollar Index (DXY) rises to 108.00, boosted by safe-haven demand due to the sell-off of global technology stocks. • Risk aversion takes the center stage as worries about China’s low-cost AI models weigh on the technology markets and add to market uncertainty. • Silver finds critical resistance at $30.40 (50-day EMA) and $30.90 (up-sloping trendline). • Silver stays positive above the 200-day EMA at $29.50 despite short-term pressure. • Markets await the Fed monetary policy announcement, which is expected to hold interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50%. • Traders would be looking for Fed Chair Powell’s views on whether the future policy path has a silver lining. Silver (XAG/USD) is treading with caution above the $30.00 hurdle due to its overall weakened upside momentum with a sharper US Dollar and higher Treasury yields. The Dollar Index (DXY) has surged to near 108.00 supported by safe-haven demand amid a global sell-off in technology stocks, fueled by concerns over China’s low-cost AI models for challenging the dominance of the leading chatbots. The market sentiment remains deeply risk-averse, causing increased appeal for the US Dollar, which has added pressure on Silver despite its traditionally safe haven status. On the technical side, Silver is capped by the 50-day EMA at $30.40 and the rising trendline at $30.90, but remains positive above the 200-day EMA at $29.50. XAG/USD Daily Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA Investors are now looking to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision, which is expected to keep the rate-easing cycle on hold and keep rates steady at 4.25%-4.50%. The Fed’s comments, especially from Chairman Jerome Powell, will be crucial in determining the direction of market sentiment and the trend of Treasury yields and the US Dollar. These are the factors that will have a huge impact on Silver prices, which is also responding to the overall risk-off sentiment that is sweeping global markets. Silver will likely remain in a tight trading range until there is clear guidance from the Fed, oscillating between technical levels and macroeconomic drivers. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Silver (XAG/USD) is testing key levels, with immediate resistance near the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $30.40 and an upward-sloping trendline around $30.90. A sustained move above these levels could open the door to further bullish momentum. On the downside, strong support is observed near the 200-day EMA at $29.50, which aligns with Silver’s broader bullish trend. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates within the neutral 40-60 range, signaling a lack of clear directional momentum. Until Silver breaks out of these defined levels, the metal is expected to trade in a sideways pattern, influenced by external macroeconomic factors. FORECAST Silver (XAG/USD) has the potential for an upward breakout if it successfully holds above the 200-day EMA at $29.50 and breaks the immediate resistance at $30.40. An upward move above the rising trendline near $30.90 opens the door to testing higher levels, and the next significant resistance is around $31.50. The metal’s attractiveness may rise further in a risk-sensitive environment, especially if uncertainty in other parts of the world persists or economic conditions support safe haven demand. But more than that, doves at the Federal Reserve or a US Dollar weakening would propel Silver upwards in the following days. And to the downside, Silver is also at risk if the US Dollar will keep on climbing up on the back of higher yields for bonds and risk-off mood. A break below the 200-day EMA at $29.50 would turn negative, with additional losses towards $28.70 or even $28.00 likely. Higher hawkishness from the Fed or stronger than expected US data could further deteriorate the downside risks. A global market risk reduction as well as reduced safe haven demand could