Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Loses Ground Below $32 as Bearish Momentum Grows
Silver (XAG/USD) remains under intense bear pressure, continuing its recent decline and falling to a multi-week low around the $32.00 level. Although the metal maintains some short-term strength at this psychological support, technical indicators on several timeframes indicate that the path of least resistance is still to the downside. A confirmed violation below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average and continued acceptance under $32.00 might create further falls, with possible goals at $31.70, $31.50, even sub-$31.00 figures. To the upside, support now resides at $32.35, $32.80, and at the $33.00 ceiling, beyond which a bounce would start to upset the bearish bias. KEY LOOKOUTS • A clear breach and acceptance through this psychological price might confirm downside momentum. • Currently at approximately $32.35, this moving average is now serving as immediate resistance and an important short-term pivot point for direction of trend. • Should bear pressure persist, monitor for possible selloffs down toward $31.70, $31.50, and even the 200-day SMA at about $31.00. • A short-covering bounce above $32.80 and the $33.00 handle might unleash the move back to the $33.70 area of resistance. Dealers need to watch closely the $32.00 level, since a break below this psychological support could reinforce the bearish trend and pave the way for additional declines towards $31.70, $31.50, and even sub-$31.00 levels near the 200-day SMA. On the other hand, near-term resistance lies at the 100-hour Simple Moving Average near $32.35, followed by firmer barriers at $32.80 and $33.00. A firm breakout above these levels would initiate a short-covering rally and reverse near-term momentum in favor of bulls, with $33.70 serving as a pivotal upside target. Until such time, the technical picture is skewed to the downside. Silver is still in bearish pressure around the $32.00 level, and a break below this level will be likely to lead to further losses towards $31.50 and lower. The nearest resistance is at $32.35 and $33.00, and only a strong move above $33.70 will be able to change the bias in favor of bulls. • Silver loses for the third consecutive day, reaching a multi-week low around $32.00. • Technical indicators on 4-hour and daily charts are indicating increasing bearish momentum. • A breakdown below the 100-hour SMA (~$32.35) would be a new catalyst for further weakness. • Support at $31.70, then $31.50 and the 200-day SMA around $31.00. • Breaking below $32.00 is essential for bears to take firm control. • The first resistance is immediate at $32.35, with subsequent resistances at $32.80 and $33.00. • A breakout above $33.70 would be necessary to negate the bearish bias and turn the bias bullish. Silver continues under pressure as sentiment in the market shifts to a cautious stance with general concerns regarding economic stability as well as changes in investor tastes. The white metal, which tends to be viewed as both an industrial metal and a vehicle of value storage, is struggling through a time of confusion wherein traders are taking a second glance at their positions. Everything from general trends in global monetary policy, inflation expectations, and demand projections for major industrial end-uses is contributing significantly towards shaping silver’s recent behavior. XAG/USD Daily Price Chart Sources: TradingView Investors are also keenly monitoring trends in world manufacturing and technology industries, where silver is significant because of its conductivity and flexibility. Moreover, shifting interest rate expectations and performance of the U.S. dollar are indirectly influencing silver’s attractiveness as an investment. As markets absorb these macroeconomic cues, silver will most likely continue to be in the limelight, with traders striking a balance between long-term fundamentals and short-term sentiment. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Silver (XAG/USD) is indicating further bearish momentum, with price action remaining muted below important resistance levels. The metal is having trouble staying above the $32.00 level, now a key support level. The indicators on the 4-hour and daily charts, including Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Averages, are trending downwards, indicating sellers still hold the upper hand. If price is unable to recover levels above $32.35 and $33.00 in the short term, the threat of further losses continues to be high, possibly targeting lower support levels in the days to come. FORECAST Silver (XAG/USD) holds ground above the $32.00 level and sees new buying interest, a rebound towards the $32.35 resistance would be the initial indication of short-term bullish pressure. A persistent break above this level can set the stage for additional gains to $32.80 and $33.00, which are significant resistance levels. Should momentum pick up, the next target on the upside could be the $33.70 area, where tighter supply is likely. A breakout above this level can change the overall sentiment in the direction of buyers and could initiate a medium-term bullish trend. On the flip side, if maintaining support at $32.00 fails, that may set up further declines, particularly if price breaks firmly under the 100-hour SMA. In such case, Silver would fall towards $31.70 and subsequently to $31.50, which are short-term supports. More profound correction will ultimately challenge the 200-day SMA in the vicinity of the $31.00 handle. If this crucial level does not hold, the door would be ajar for a sustained fall towards the psychological $30.00 level, affirming the bearish perspective in the near to medium term.