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Gold Stands Steady Over $3,000 in Face of Trump’s Secondary Tariffs and Nerves in Markets

Gold is standing firm over the $3,000 level amid markets processing U.S. President Donald Trump’s recently implemented secondary tariffs against countries importing Venezuelan oil. While reciprocals are being relaxed for countries reshoring manufacturing, fresh tariffs on autos, aluminum, and pharmaceuticals are imminent, further driving market uncertainty. Gold-backed ETFs are drawing growing interest, reflecting robust demand for bullion. At the same time, Trump’s import tariffs on Chinese-built ships are causing unease in the US agricultural industry. Gold is technically under resistance at $3,046, with the level of support at $2,997, so the $3,000 level is an essential barrier to holding its upward momentum. KEY LOOKOUTS • The $3,000 level continues to be a vital support level; below that may see further selling pressure. • Markets are observing closely the implications of Trump’s 25% secondary tariffs on those who import Venezuelan oil, notably China and India. • Rising demand for gold-backed ETFs shows increasing investor bullishness towards bullion, which could underpin higher prices. • Impending tariffs on autos, aluminum, and pharmaceuticals could generate additional market volatility and affect global trade flows. Gold prices are still in the spotlight as markets weigh the implications of U.S. President Donald Trump’s secondary tariffs against nations that are buying Venezuelan oil, including India and China. As gold remains above the pivotal $3,000 level of support, investors are anticipating signs of a breakout or further selling pressure. The increase in bullion-backed ETF inflows is an indicator of growing demand that may sustain higher prices. Meanwhile, Trump’s plan to impose new tariffs on cars, aluminum, and pharmaceuticals adds to market uncertainty, potentially influencing broader commodity trends and global trade relations. Gold remains above the significant $3,000 level as markets respond to Trump’s follow-on tariffs against nations purchasing Venezuelan oil. Growth in demand for gold-backed ETFs indicates investor demand, but the imposition of tariffs on main sectors in the future contributes further to global trade uncertainty. Speculators are eyeing a breakdown or fresh selling pressure in the next few days. • Residing above this level is central to maintaining positive momentum. • Markets are weighing the effect of fresh 25% tariffs on nations purchasing Venezuelan oil. • More investment in bullion-backed ETFs indicates increased faith in gold. • Traders are looking for a break above resistance at $3,046 or a fall below support at $2,997. • Fresh tariffs on automobiles, aluminum, and drugs might fuel further market instability. • More tariffs on Chinese-built ships might hinder U.S. agriculture exports. • The next significant resistance level is still a primary target for bullish momentum. Gold is still in the limelight as markets respond to U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent economic policies, especially the imposition of secondary tariffs. The tariffs, imposed on nations that continue to buy oil from Venezuela, are likely to affect large economies such as China and India. The action marks a transition from tit-for-tat tariffs to a more strategic one designed to apply economic pressure without explicit trade confrontation. Trump has also suggested additional tariffs on automobiles, aluminum, and drugs, further clouding global markets. The policy change could have far-reaching implications for international trade and investment flows, shaping market sentiment towards safe-haven assets such as gold. XAU/USD DAILY PRICE CHART CHART SOURCE: TradingView Investor sentiment in gold is evident through the rising inflows into bullion-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), indicating firm demand for the commodity. As geopolitical tensions continue to increase and trade restrictions undergo a transformation, investors are finding refuge in gold as a hedge against economic volatility. Mergers and acquisitions within the gold mining industry are also receiving more focus, such as Gold Fields’ $3.3 billion offer for Gold Road Resources. While central banks and institutional investors watch these trends, the long-term role for gold as a safe-haven store of value continues unabated in the midst of changing global policy and market forces. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold is consolidating above the critical $3,000 support level, with the focus on resistance levels for a breakout. The near-term resistance is at $3,028, then a firmer barrier at $3,046, close to last week’s highs. If gold breaks above this level, it may retest its all-time high of $3,057. On the downside, support at $2,997 is pivotal, and a break below this level may invite further selling pressure. The absence of robust support below $3,000 creates fear of downside risks, so this level becomes a battleground for traders. With tariff news driving market volatility, gold price action is likely to remain active in the near term. FORECAST The bullish trend in gold is intact as long as it remains above the key $3,000 level. If the buying pressure persists, a break above $3,046 could set the stage for a retest of the all-time high at $3,057. Persistent buying from gold-backed ETFs and rising geopolitical tensions, especially from U.S. trade policies, may add support for further gains. In case gold crosses its current high, the next possible resistance zone may be seen around $3,075–$3,100, thanks to robust investor sentiment and safe-haven buying. On the flip side, gold is exposed to breaking below the $3,000 psychological support level, which may induce further selling pressure. If prices fall to below $2,997, the next level of support stands at $2,984, at which point buyers might try to shore up the market. Further decline would bring a possible move to $2,950, particularly if investor optimism falters from further relief on trade tensions or more robust U.S. economic indicators. Lacking solid support points under $3,000, any sudden plunge could fuel losses in the near term.

Commodities Oil – US Crude

WTI Crude at $73 with Supply Fears and Tariffs Threat from Donald Trump

Prices for crude West Texas Intermediate soared to about $73.00 as worries of increased supply loomed, as former President Donald Trump has warned of his intentions to enforce a 25% tariff against both Canadian and Mexican oil exported into the country due to these two countries being main sources for smuggling fentanyl, though a definite decision yet is not established. The uncertainty of the proposed tariffs, coupled with existing geopolitics, such as Russia sanctions, restrictions on Venezuelan oil, and pressure on Iran, has added volatility to the oil market. Furthermore, on February 3, traders have been on high alert as the OPEC+ meeting will discuss production policies as well as Trump’s drive for lower oil prices. Market expectations are that OPEC+ will continue to do what it is doing, and any increase in production may begin in April. KEY LOOKOUTS • Markets await clarity on Trump’s proposed 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican oil, which could significantly impact U.S. crude imports and global price • Traders expect discussions on production strategies, with potential adjustments as Trump pressures Saudi Arabia and the group to lower oil prices. • Sanctions on Russia, Venezuela, and Iran, as well as U.S. efforts to refill the strategic petroleum reserve, could further elevate oil price volatility. • China, the world’s largest oil importer, will respond to potential U.S. tariffs and its economic policies to influence global crude demand. WTI crude oil prices are now experiencing increased volatility amid traders’ keen interest on important events, including another potential 25% tariff by Trump on Canadian and Mexican oil, which could interrupt imports of U.S. crude oil. The next OPEC+ meeting scheduled on February 3 is likely to discuss production strategies as pressures mount on Saudi Arabia to reduce prices. Geopolitical tensions, such as sanctions on Russia, Venezuela, and Iran, add further supply concerns, while U.S. efforts to refill the strategic petroleum reserve may boost demand. Meanwhile, China’s response to potential U.S. tariffs and its economic policies remain a critical factor in global oil market stability. WTI crude oil prices remain volatile as markets await Trump’s decision on a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican oil, potentially disrupting U.S. imports. The upcoming OPEC+ meeting on February 3 and geopolitical tensions, including sanctions on Russia and Venezuela, add further uncertainty to global oil markets. • Uncertainty looms as markets await Trump’s final decision on imposing tariffs on Canadian and Mexican oil, which could disrupt U.S. crude imports. • WTI crude prices have risen to around $73.00 as supply disruptions and geopolitical risks weigh on the market. • Traders expect the oil production strategy to be discussed, with Saudi Arabia being forced to lower crude prices. • Sanctions on Russia, Venezuela, and Iran, and tensions in key oil-producing regions, continue to fuel oil market volatility. • Reserve replenishment efforts may boost oil demand and influence global price trends. • China, being the world’s biggest importer, will be affected by its economic policies and the possible U.S. tariffs on its imports. • Traders are still wary as oil price movements are driven by political decisions, supply chain disruptions, and upcoming OPEC+ strategies. WTI crude oil prices have risen to almost $73.00, driven by supply concerns following Trump’s tariff threats on Canadian and Mexican oil exports. The former US president threatened the imposition of a 25 percent tariff to counter the shipment of fentanyl and threw uncertainty on the global markets for oil. Such a move may be destabilizing to imports of crude from abroad since these are supplied mostly by Canada and Mexico. On top of all these, geopolitics remains rife with uncertainties like US sanctions against Russia, Venezuela, and Iran. Investors are also paying close attention to U.S. efforts to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which may weigh further on demand and price stability. WTI Daily Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA Another point of focus is OPEC+ scheduled to meet on February 3, when it is expected to deliberate on strategies for production with Trump applying pressure on Saudi Arabia to reduce oil prices. While market expectation is that OPEC+ may continue with current supply policy, any increase in production is bound to start April. Moreover, China’s actions on potential tariffs from the US and its fiscal policies will set the tone on global crude demand. With multifarious uncertainties that surround supply and demand as well as geopolitical action, traders stay cautious and will expect further turbulence in the near term. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS At press time, WTI crude oil has staged a short-term rebound from two days of decline and is trading around $73.00. It has been able to sustain above the previously mentioned spot support near the key level of $71.50 at the 50-day moving average line and could continue to be bullish if this support holds. The next resistance zone is seen near $74.20, but stronger resistance is pegged around $75.50. The RSI stands at levels close to 55, indicating a moderate degree of bullish momentum but still not in an overbought region. A final breakout above $74.20 can take this market higher to the resistance area at $76.00 while a fall below $71.50 opens it up for a drop toward $70.00 with increased bearish pressure in the short term. Market sentiment is subject to political risks and OPEC + decisions set to release next week. FORECAST If the tensions and supply concerns are maintained, WTI crude oil prices might continue the trend upward. If the price manages to break out above the strong resistance at $74.20, further upward moves are possible toward $75.50 and then to $76.00 in the near term. The more bullish oil prices would remain if OPEC+ continues with or even reduces its production levels. Moreover, any indication of the imposition of 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican oil by Trump will also lead to supply curtailment into the U.S., thus fueling prices higher. Geopolitical tensions such as the ongoing U.S. sanctions against Russia, Venezuela, and Iran can also lead to a risk premium