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Commodities Silver

Silver Price Outlook: XAG/USD Falls Below $33.00 as Bullish Momentum Fades

The price of silver has fallen in recent times, with sentiment in the market indicating caution as the price is unable to break above major levels despite attempts by buyers. While bullish momentum fades, there is still hope for a rebound, subject to the broader economic environment, such as US yields and investor sentiment. The valuable metal remains under close scrutiny by market players as its behavior is still linked to changing variables beyond mere trends in price-action. While uncertainties still persist, the future of silver hangs in the balance of larger macroeconomic trends that may influence demand and investor tactics in the immediate future. KEY LOOKOUTS • XAG/USD needs to overcome the $33.20 resistance to affirm a reversal, with failure to stay above $33.00 potentially pointing towards more downward pressure. • A fall beneath the important $32.00 support level may set off more losses, with the 100-day SMA at $31.12 being a crucial buffer. • The RSI indicates contradictory signs, revealing the loss of bullish strength; should the decline continue, it would be able to generate prolonged pressure on silver prices. • Steadily rising US yields and decreasing market momentum indicate that technical resistance around $33.39 would become an obstacle to any future upside move in case buying interest wavers. XAG/USD needs to breach the $33.20 resistance level to validate a bullish reversal, as not being able to hold above $33.00 might indicate further bearish momentum. A drop below the crucial $32.00 support might lead to further losses, with the 100-day SMA at $31.12 acting as a crucial safety net. The RSI indicates conflicting signals, with diminishing bullish strength; if the downtrend persists, it could result in prolonged pressure on silver’s price. Elevating US yields and sagging market momentum imply that technical resistance around $33.39 might become an obstacle for any subsequent uptrend if buyer enthusiasm declines. XAG/USD has to penetrate the $33.20 hurdle to confirm a reversal in favour of bulls, whereas dropping below the $32.00 level may instigate more selling pressure. Mixed indications from the RSI and surging US yields reflect continuing headwinds to silver’s upswing. • Silver declined 1.20% to $32.54 after unable to sustain the pivotal $33.00 level. • The RSI shows conflicting signals, with positive signs being balanced by a declining slope. • Breaking the $33.20 resistance is essential for a continuation of the bullish trend. • Further resistance is seen at $33.39, which may lead the way to $34.00 if broken. • A fall below the $32.00 support could initiate further bear pressure. • The 100-day SMA at $31.12, then the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, serve as major support levels. • Dipping US yields have helped induce a risk-averse market mood, affecting the performance of silver. The silver price (XAG/USD) has declined 1.20%, dropping back to $32.54 after unable to remain above the significant $33.00 threshold. The dissipation of bullish strength, as signified by the RSI, indicates ambiguous momentum. Recent sessions have had silver settle around $32.54, a demonstration of tepid sentiment adjustment in the marketplace. In spite of positive moves for U.S. Treasury yields, investor sentiment was seemingly tempered, and silver didn’t take complete advantage of the favorable activity across the wider financial markets. XAG/USD Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView In the future, market participants are all about the general economic climate as the main source of inspiration for silver’s upcoming performance. Experts closely follow worldwide economic indicators and overall market trends, implying that the revival of investor sentiment can become a deciding factor in the direction of the metal’s outlook for the next few weeks. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Silver’s recent price action indicates a bearish perspective. The metal has fallen back to $32.54 after it could not hold above the pivotal $33.00 mark, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sending mixed messages—a positive reading balanced against a declining momentum trend. Traders are keenly watching a resistance level at $33.20, where breaking through may revive the bull trend, and support close to the 100-day Simple Moving Average at $31.12 remains important if the price keeps falling. FORECAST If silver is able to regain its momentum, a sustained break above the $33.20 resistance level would indicate the beginning of a new bullish trend. This break could set the stage for the metal to move towards higher levels, including the $33.39 level and even challenge the $34.00 level. Such a rising trend would most probably be cushioned by a change in investor attitude and positive economic indicators, prompting buyers to intervene and force the price upwards. Silver remains exposed to further declines if it cannot maintain its current support levels. A slip below the $32.00 threshold could trigger additional selling pressure, with the 100-day SMA near $31.12 providing a critical support zone. In this scenario, persistent weakness in market sentiment combined with ongoing economic uncertainties could lead to a deeper retracement, necessitating careful monitoring of price action and key technical indicators for signs of stabilization.

Commodities Silver

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Remains Bullish Above $32.50 Due to Market Uncertainty

Silver (XAG/USD) remains bullish above $32.50, bolstered by the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a robust 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 66.30. Even though it slipped lower to $32.75 during the Asian session, the white metal’s downside seems capped due to policy uncertainties, such as possible tariff issues under the Trump administration. The important resistance area is at $33.30-$33.40, with the breakout capable of taking prices towards $34.55 and $34.87. To the downside, key support comes at $31.79, and an important level of contention comes at $31.00-$30.90, the level of 100-day EMA. Falling below this can push silver down towards $29.70. The FOMC Minutes are on market players’ radar for the next lead. KEY LOOKOUTS • Silver is met with instant resistance at $33.30-$33.40; a breach above this can lead prices to $34.55 and $34.87. • The initial support on the downside is at $31.79, with a key contention area at $31.00-$30.90; a breach here can drive prices to $29.70. • The 100-day EMA underpins silver’s uptrend, while the 14-day RSI at 66.30 indicates further advances in the near term. • Policy risks, such as possible tariffs under the Trump presidency, and the release of the FOMC Minutes will affect silver price volatility and movement. Silver (XAG/USD) is still in a bullish region above $32.50, aided by the 100-day EMA and a healthy RSI reading of 66.30. The near resistance is at $33.30-$33.40, and a breakout may push prices towards $34.55 and $34.87. On the negative side, support is initially at $31.79, and a break below the $31.00-$30.90 range would expose the market to more losses towards $29.70. Policy uncertainties, such as possible tariffs during the Trump administration, are affecting market sentiment, with traders looking for the FOMC Minutes for more hints on future price direction. Silver (XAG/USD) remains bullish above $32.50, underpinned by the 100-day EMA and robust RSI strength. Levels of resistance stand at $33.30-$33.40, and the level of support is $31.79. Market attention centers on policy unknowns and Wednesday’s FOMC Minutes for further guidance. • Silver (XAG/USD) continues to be positive above $32.50, underpinned by the 100-day EMA and good RSI value of 66.30. • The initial major resistance levels are at $33.30-$33.40, followed by additional target levels of $34.55 and $34.87 based on ongoing buying pressure. • Initial support levels are at $31.79, followed by a critical bearish barrier around $31.00-$30.90; a fall may take prices down to $29.70. • The price remains above the 100-day EMA, and the RSI indicates a bull run in favor of a further increase in silver. • Policy risks, such as the possibility of future tariff moves by Trump’s government, may affect silver’s movement. • Traders wait for the Federal Reserve’s FOMC Minutes for clues about forthcoming monetary policy and possible price action. • A change in world economic mood or surprise policy signals may result in sudden movements in silver prices. Silver (XAG/USD) remains market focus as a favored asset amidst changing economic realities and world uncertainties. Its consumption is fueled by both industrial and investment markets, making it one of the commodity market’s market movers. It finds extensive usage in electronics, solar panels, and medical procedures, which drive its long-term growth prospects. Its historical use as a safe-haven commodity also adds to its attractiveness at periods of economic downturn, as investors seek its services for diversifying their portfolios and preserving their wealth. XAG/USD Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA Silver’s price action in the market is influenced by global economic trends, monetary policy, and geopolitical events. Its demand is determined by inflation, interest rate decisions, and currency movements. Additionally, central bank policies and changes in industrial consumption still affect its valuation. With governments and industry placing emphasis on sustainable and technological developments, the use of silver in green energy technologies and electronics is likely to increase, making it even more important in the long term to the global economy. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Silver (XAG/USD) has a positive technical bias, staying above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which provides solid support at $31.00-$30.90. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 66.30, showing continuous buying pressure without reaching overbought levels. The Bollinger Bands indicate price consolidation with resistance at $33.30-$33.40, which coincides with the upper band. A successful breakout above this level can take silver to $34.55 and $34.87. On the lower side, the major support levels are at $31.79 and $31.00, with a break below potentially taking the price lower to $29.70. The overall outlook is still bullish as long as silver trades above the 100-day EMA, with investors looking to upcoming macroeconomic announcements to confirm. FORECAST Silver (XAG/USD) has a positive outlook, with positive momentum boosted by solid technicals and macroeconomic conditions. If silver can hold above the critical $32.50 level, the next level of resistance is at $33.30-$33.40. A break above this level would push prices towards $34.55, a last-seen price in October 2024, and further to $34.87. Increased investor demand on the back of inflation hedging and safe-haven buying can further propel silver’s rally. Also, increased industrial consumption, especially in solar energy and electronics, contributes to its long-term potential. If world economic circumstances are conducive to commodities, silver may witness stronger demand, moving prices upward over the next couple of weeks. To the negative side, silver has strong support at $31.79 and more substantial backing in the area of $31.00-$30.90. A slip below here can set the alarm bells ringing and induce more weakness, with the next important objective at $29.70. Market uncertainties surrounding changing Federal Reserve policies and the altering risk tone can exert downward pressure on silver. If interest rates continue to be high or rise further, non-yielding assets such as silver can come under selling pressure. Any fall in industrial demand or economic slowdowns in major markets such as China and the U.S. can also put pressure on prices. A break below key support levels can trigger bearish momentum, resulting in further corrections in the near term.