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Commodities Gold

Gold Market Remains Steady Despite Tariff Easing, Fed Rate Cut Speculations

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  • March 7, 2025
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Gold maintains its consolidation phase, retaining its weekly gains as market forces adjust due to easing tariff tensions and Federal Reserve rate cut speculations. The Trump administration’s move to exempt Mexican and Canadian imports from new tariffs derailed briefly the bullion rally, as traders now target the forthcoming Nonfarm Payrolls report. Fed official Christopher Waller foreshadowed possible rate reductions later this year, in accordance with market forecast. In addition, tensions continue between the U.S. and China, while Bitcoin’s weakness after a reserve announcement contributes to market uncertainty. With gold lingering around $2,917, important technical benchmarks reflect a cautionary but upbeat attitude, with traders weighing macroeconomic signals in anticipation of the next major development. KEY LOOKOUTS • Fed official Christopher Waller hinted at two or three rate cuts this year, with June being a potential turning point for monetary policy. • Traders closely watch Friday’s U.S. jobs data, as a strong report could delay rate cuts, impacting gold’s demand as a safe-haven asset. • The Trump administration’s exemption of Mexico and Canada from new tariffs influenced market sentiment, and future trade policy changes could impact gold prices. • Gold fluctuates around $2,917, while support lies at $2,928 and resistance at $2,900; breaking these points may initiate immense price action. Gold traders are on tenterhooks as prime macroeconomic and geopolitical events influence investor sentiment. The possibility of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, indicated by Christopher Waller, continues to propel bullion, with June being a turning point. Investors keenly await the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report, which might impact Fed policy and affect the safe-haven demand for gold. The Trump administration’s announcement of exempting Mexico and Canada from new tariffs temporarily halted the rally in gold, but other trade policy changes may spark renewed volatility. Gold technically trades at $2,917, with resistance at $2,928 and solid support at $2,900, and these levels will be vital to short-term price action. Gold consolidates near $2,917 as traders eye key market drivers, including potential Fed rate cuts and the upcoming U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. The Trump administration’s tariff exemption for Mexico and Canada briefly stalled bullion’s rally. • Gold remains steady near $2,917, consolidating gains for the third consecutive day amid shifting market dynamics. • Fed member Christopher Waller hints at two or three rate reductions in 2024, and June as a critical decision time. • Friday’s U.S. jobs data are awaited by traders, which may impact Fed policy and the safe-haven demand for gold. • The Trump administration’s move to exempt Mexico and Canada from new tariffs temporarily halted the rally in gold. • Bitcoin fell below $90,000 following President Trump’s strategic Bitcoin reserve plan which failed to impress investors. • Australia shipped a record $2.9 billion in gold to the U.S. in January due to concerns about possible tariffs. • Gold’s key support lies at $2,900, and resistance levels at $2,928 and $2,945 will chart its next direction. Gold continues to consolidate while market players are weighing global economic events and policy changes. The Federal Reserve’s position on whether there will be rate cuts remains an important determinant, with Christopher Waller predicting two or three cuts this year. This coincides with the expectations of markets, particularly in light of the continued focus on inflationary pressure and labor markets. The U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls release on Friday is also seen to shed some light on the economy’s robustness, something that could feed into future decisions on monetary policy. XAU/USD Daily Price Chart Chart Source: TradingView At the same time, geopolitical and trade events also influence market sentiment. The Trump administration’s move to exempt Mexico and Canada from fresh tariffs temporarily dented investor sentiment, while US-China tensions remain a source of uncertainty. Recent record-high gold exports from Australia to the U.S. show the sustained demand for the metal in the wake of global trade tensions. Moreover, the surprise decline of Bitcoin after news of a strategic reserve highlights the volatility of the wider financial markets, potentially with an indirect impact on investor sentiment towards safe-haven assets such as gold. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold continues to be in a state of consolidation, with the main technical levels dictating short-term price direction. Trading at around $2,917 currently, the metal finds immediate resistance at $2,928, with further up potential towards $2,945 as long as bullish pressure gains momentum. On the negative side, the psychological support of $2,900 continues to be important, serving as a buffer against falls. A fall below this level might open further downside to $2,874, where more buying interest could come in. Though the overall trend is still supportive based on hopes for future rate cuts, gold might need a new catalyst to move out of its present range and try to reach its all-time high of $2,956. FORECAST The bullish momentum in gold could gain strength if the Federal Reserve indicates more aggressive rate cuts in future meetings. A dovish bias, combined with economic uncertainty, might propel demand for the precious metal as a safe-haven. If gold is able to break above the $2,928 resistance level, it might set the stage for a move towards $2,945. A subsequent rally might challenge the all-time high of $2,956, particularly if geopolitical tensions or inflation worries return, making investors more interested in bullion. On the other hand, if future economic statistics, led by the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls release, paint a robust picture of the jobs market, that could temper hope of early cuts, putting bearish pressure on gold. Breaking below the psychological $2,900 support would possibly set further declines in motion, with the next significant level of support found at $2,874. A firmer U.S. dollar or higher bond yields may also keep gold prices down, and that could trigger a possible retest of lower prices if positive momentum is lost.

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Commodities Gold

Gold prices surged past $2,900: Trump’s tariffs and global uncertainty fuel safe-haven demand

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  • February 11, 2025
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Gold price (XAU/USD) continues its bullish momentum, breaching the $2,900 mark to hit a fresh all-time high amidst growing safe-haven demand. The surge is driven by US President Donald Trump’s new tariffs on commodities, escalating global trade war concerns, and geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East. Other positives include the prospect of increasing inflation with the pro-protectionist policies of President Trump, thus making gold more attractive as an economic uncertainty hedge. A weak US Dollar bounce and an overbought market have resulted in some intraday profit-taking before Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony. Even though the precious metal experienced some minor pullbacks, the bigger picture is bullish, and strong support is at key technical levels above $2,800, which supports additional upside. KEY LOOKOUTS • Global uncertainty rises with threats of US retaliation and reciprocal tariffs on commodities • Increasing skirmishes, in the Middle East for one, only heighten fears in markets that drive even greater demand for gold as an inflation hedge against volatility • Fed rate policy and future course under inflation concern and a surprising strong labor market. • Despite minor pullbacks, gold’s strong support above $2,800 and bullish trends suggest further upside potential in the coming sessions. Gold’s bullish momentum remains intact as it continues to trade above the $2,900 mark, driven by escalating trade war fears following Trump’s new tariffs and ongoing geopolitical tensions. Investors are turning to the safe-haven metal amid uncertainties surrounding global economic policies and Middle East conflicts. A stronger US Dollar and profit-taking have caused slight pullbacks, but gold’s strong technical support near $2,800 suggests limited downside risks. The market now awaits Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, which could provide further clarity on the Federal Reserve’s rate stance and influence gold’s next move. Gold price continues to hold strong above $2,900 on the back of Trump’s tariffs and geopolitical tensions, which increase safe-haven demand. Even minor pullbacks are capped by strong support near $2,800. Fed Chair Powell’s testimony may shape gold’s next move. • Gold price surges to a record high as safe-haven demand increases. • New US tariffs on commodities raise the specter of a global trade war, making gold more attractive. • Uncertainties, especially in the Middle East, push investors towards gold as a hedge. • Expectations of inflation because of Trump’s protectionist stance might influence the rate decisions of the Federal Reserve. • A modest recovery in the USD results in some profit-taking in the prices of gold. • Gold is well-supported above $2,800 and is limited in downside risks despite minor corrections. • Investors await Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments, which may affect the future course of gold. Gold’s price keeps on its bullish trend, going past the $2,900 mark and reaching a new all-time high as investors seek safety amid rising economic and geopolitical uncertainties. US President Donald Trump’s newly imposed tariffs on commodities, along with his plans for reciprocal duties on other countries, have fueled fears of a global trade war, significantly boosting demand for gold. Furthermore, increased political tensions, especially in the Middle East, have also contributed to gold’s safe-haven status. However, some intraday profit-taking occurred due to a minor US Dollar recovery. Yet, the bullish sentiment remains firm, with technical support levels around $2,800 capping the downside. XAU/USD Daily Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA Looking ahead, market participants are watching the Federal Reserve’s policy stance very closely as Trump’s protectionist policies are likely to drive inflation higher, and this might have an impact on the Fed’s interest rate decisions. A hawkish stance from the central bank would strengthen the US Dollar and cap gold’s gains, while a dovish approach would further support the yellow metal’s rally. Investors are also waiting for Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, which may give a clue about the Fed’s view on inflation and interest rates. While short-term fluctuations are possible, the broader technical setup suggests that gold is still on an uptrend, and strong demand is likely to keep prices elevated in the near term. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold is still in a strong uptrend, comfortably above the $2,900 level, and with key support around the $2,800 level. Any pullback towards $2,886-$2,882 should attract fresh buying interest, which will reinforce the bullish outlook. A decisive break below this zone may push prices towards the $2,855-$2,852 region, but downside risks are limited because of strong demand. On the flip side, yesterday’s resistance came in near $2,943-$2,950; a next leg higher probably targets the $3,000 mark, but it is reflected in the daily chart – the overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI). The next leg higher might mean some consolidation or short-term correction. Traders will look forward to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony and the US Dollar’s movement for further directional cues. FORECAST The medium-term bullishness in gold will likely continue for the near term, with price action testing new higher resistance levels. If this buying pressure remains strong, then the next target to the upside would be in the $2,943-$2,950 area, with the psychological $3,000 barrier being a major obstacle before breaking above to start a new rally and take the long-term uptrend much further. Geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and safe-haven demand will continue to fuel gold prices. The positive view on the yellow metal will continue. But, the price may see some pullbacks because of profit-taking and the US Dollar’s strengthening. If the price falls below $2,900, the initial support is seen around $2,886-$2,882, and the downside risks will extend toward the $2,855-$2,852 zone. Another more aggressive push in correction would push prices closer to the $2,834 level, but that level is expected to attract buyers, thus limiting further declines. Market sentiment will be highly driven by the monetary stance of the Federal Reserve and Jerome Powell’s testimony as any hints of a prolonged rise in higher interest rates would force short-term downward pressure on gold.

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Commodities Gold

Gold Prices Soar to New All-Time Highs as Trade War Jitters, Inflation Loom

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  • February 10, 2025
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Prices of gold (XAU/USD) have maintained their bull run and even reached new all-time highs near the $2,896-$2,897 level as haven demand increases amidst heightened trade war jitters and inflationary pressure. US President Donald Trump declared new 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, in addition to threatened retaliatory measures, which raised uncertainty and have prompted investors to rush to the safe haven. Meanwhile, upbeat US jobs data and persistent inflation worries are expected to keep the Federal Reserve cautious about rate cuts, providing further support to gold prices. Despite modest US Dollar strength and overbought technical conditions, the fundamental backdrop suggests the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Traders now await Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony and key inflation data for further direction. KEY LOOKOUTS • Trump’s new tariffs on steel and aluminum escalate US-China tensions, driving investors toward safe-haven assets like gold amid economic uncertainty. • Rising inflation fears, fueled by protectionist policies, strengthen gold’s appeal as a hedge against price increases despite the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance. • The Fed’s decision on interest rates remains key, as resilient labor market data and inflation trends could impact gold’s bullish momentum. • Gold faces resistance near $2,900, while overbought RSI signals possible consolidation; key support levels to watch are $2,855 and $2,834. Gold prices continue to rally amid escalating trade war fears and inflation concerns, driven by US President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Investors seek refuge in the safe-haven metal as economic uncertainty looms, while inflationary pressures further boost gold’s appeal. Despite the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance, resilient US labor market data and persistent inflation could limit room for further rate cuts, supporting gold’s bullish outlook. However, technical indicators signal overbought conditions, suggesting potential consolidation near the $2,900 resistance level, with key support at $2,855 and $2,834 to watch for potential pullbacks. Gold prices surge to record highs amid escalating trade war fears and inflation concerns, with investors seeking safe-haven assets. While the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance supports gold, overbought technical conditions hint at possible consolidation near the $2,900 resistance level. • XAU/USD reaches a fresh all-time high around the $2,896-$2,897 region amid strong safe-haven demand. • Trump’s new 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports escalate US-China tensions, boosting gold’s appeal. • Protectionist policies may reactivate inflation, reinforcing the reasons to hold gold as a hedge against rising prices. • Strong labor market and inflationary worries might prevent the Fed from reducing interest rates, further supporting gold’s bullish outlook. • A slight USD advance might cap the rally in gold, but the fundamental setup is supportive. • Gold is resisted around the $2,900 area, with overbought RSI conditions pointing to consolidation. • Immediate support lies at $2,855 and $2,834, with a further decline targeting the $2,815-$2,800 range. Gold prices continue their upward trajectory, reaching a fresh all-time high around the $2,896-$2,897 region as investors seek refuge in the safe-haven asset amid rising economic uncertainty. US President Donald Trump’s announcement of new 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports has intensified fears of a trade war, prompting increased demand for gold. Additionally, concerns over inflationary pressures due to protectionist policies have further strengthened gold’s status as a hedge against rising prices. Meanwhile, the US labor market remains resilient, with a lower-than-expected unemployment rate, which could limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to ease monetary policy. Despite modest US Dollar strength, gold maintains its bullish momentum, signaling strong investor confidence in the metal. XAU/USD Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA Gold’s technical outlook remains bullish, but overbought conditions on the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggest a potential short-term consolidation or pullback. The key resistance level stands at $2,900, and a sustained break above this could push prices toward $2,920-$2,930. On the downside, initial support lies at $2,855-$2,854, with stronger buying interest expected around $2,834. If bearish pressure intensifies, the next critical support zone is near $2,815-$2,800. Moving averages indicate continued strength, reinforcing the long-term uptrend, while traders closely watch upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve signals for further price direction. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a strong uptrend, but overbought conditions on the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicate the possibility of short-term consolidation or a minor pullback before further gains. The immediate resistance lies at the psychological $2,900 level, and a sustained breakout above this could push prices toward the $2,920-$2,930 range. On the downside, initial support is seen at $2,855-$2,854, with further key levels at $2,834 and $2,815. If gold breaks below these levels, a deeper retracement toward the $2,800 mark could follow. Moving averages continue to move up, specifically 50-day and 200-day EMAs. Traders would watch the short-term momentum indicators and price action for a breakout confirmation in either direction, given that short-term direction could shift based on upcoming US inflation numbers and signals coming from the Fed. FORECAST The current trend in the gold prices continues to remain uptrended; safe haven, as well as inflation, would continue to sustain the uptrend. The bullish momentum suggests that gold could break above the psychological $2,900 mark, with the next potential target around $2,920-$2,930. If trade tensions between the US and China escalate further or inflation fears intensify, gold may see additional upside, attracting more investors seeking a hedge against economic instability. The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates will also play a crucial role in sustaining the bullish momentum. Should the Fed signal a more dovish approach due to persistent economic risks, gold could gain further, testing new record highs in the coming weeks. Despite gold’s strong rally, short-term pullbacks remain a possibility due to overbought technical conditions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that gold is approaching an overextended zone, suggesting the potential for a temporary correction. If profit-taking sets in, initial support is expected near the $2,855-$2,854 region, followed by stronger support at $2,834. A deeper retracement could bring the price down to $2,815 or even the $2,800 psychological level, where fresh buying interest

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Commodities Silver

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Targets Fresh Highs Amid Strong Bullish Momentum

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  • February 10, 2025
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Silver (XAG/USD) continues its bullish momentum, trading near $32.00 per troy ounce, supported by strong technical indicators. The metal remains above the nine-day and 14-day EMAs, reinforcing its short-term uptrend. With the RSI above 50 and the price advancing within an ascending channel, silver could retest its three-month high of $32.65, with a potential breakout targeting the psychological level of $33.00. Key support levels are found at $31.71, $31.44, and $31.10, with a break below these potentially shifting the trend bearish toward December’s low of $28.74. KEY LOOKOUTS • Silver faces a key resistance level at its three-month high of $32.65; a breakout could drive prices toward the psychological barrier of $33.00. • The nine-day EMA at $31.71 acts as immediate support; a breach below this level could weaken bullish momentum and trigger further declines. • The 14-day RSI remains above 50, signaling continued bullish strength; sustained momentum could reinforce the uptrend and push silver toward new highs. • The price of silver trades in an ascending channel and thus is considered very bullish. To continue with further gains, the price has to hold above the lower boundary of $31.10. Silver (XAG/USD) continues with the bullish sentiment. It has traded within the ascending channel and above the crucial support levels. At present, the price has been facing crucial resistance at $32.65, and the break above that can take the price towards the psychological level of $33.00. The nine-day EMA at $31.71 serves as immediate support, while the 14-day EMA at $31.44 and the channel’s lower boundary at $31.10 provide additional safety nets for bulls. With the RSI above 50, market sentiment remains positive, reinforcing the likelihood of further gains unless silver breaks below critical support zones, which could shift momentum bearish toward $28.74. Silver (XAG/USD) continues its bullish trend, facing key resistance at $32.65, with a breakout potentially driving prices toward $33.00. Strong support at $31.71 and the RSI above 50 reinforce the uptrend, while a break below $31.10 could weaken momentum. • Silver faces a crucial resistance at its three-month high; a breakout could push prices toward the psychological level of $33.00. • The nine-day EMA acts as strong support; a break below this could weaken the bullish momentum. • Silver trades within an ascending channel, indicating a strong uptrend unless the lower boundary at $31.10 is breached. • The 14-day RSI remains above 50, signaling continued bullish strength and supporting further upside potential. • Silver remains above the nine-day and 14-day EMAs, reinforcing a strong bullish outlook. • A break below key support levels ($31.71, $31.44, and $31.10) could expose silver to further downside, potentially testing $28.74. • If silver breaks above $32.65, it could aim for the next key psychological resistance at $33.00, further strengthening the bullish outlook. Silver (XAG/USD) continues to trade within a strong bullish trend, hovering near $32.00 while finding support at key moving averages. The metal stays above the nine-day EMA at $31.71 and the 14-day EMA at $31.44, so short-term momentum is strong. With the RSI above 50, silver is still on a positive track, and a breakout above the critical resistance level of $32.65 may take prices up to the psychological barrier of $33.00. The ascending channel formation continues to support the ongoing uptrend, keeping buyers in control as long as the lower boundary at $31.10 holds. XAG/USD Daily Price Chart TradingView Prepared by ELLYANA But if silver cannot hold the bullish momentum, a breakdown below $31.71 may push the price further down and open it to deeper retracements. A break of the 14-day EMA at $31.44 and the lower boundary of the ascending channel at $31.10 may change the market sentiment and push the price down to December’s low of $28.74. Traders should closely watch resistance at $32.65 and key support levels to gauge the next directional move in silver prices. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Silver (XAG/USD) exhibits strong bullish momentum on the daily chart, trading within an ascending channel while holding above key moving averages. The nine-day EMA at $31.71 and the 14-day EMA at $31.44 act as crucial support levels, sustaining the uptrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, indicating sustained bullishness and leaving room for a further move upwards. The initial resistance level to watch is the three-month high at $32.65. A break above this level might send prices upwards to $33.00. A break below $31.10, which is the lower boundary of the ascending channel, might weaken momentum and leave silver vulnerable to a drop to the level of $28.74. FORECAST Silver (XAG/USD) continues to show strong bullish momentum, with technical indicators supporting further gains. The price remains above key moving averages, with the nine-day EMA at $31.71 and the 14-day EMA at $31.44 acting as strong support levels. If silver sustains its current uptrend, it could retest its three-month high of $32.65, a critical resistance level. A breakout above this could push the price toward the psychological mark of $33.00, further strengthening bullish sentiment. The RSI staying above 50 and the price moving within an ascending channel indicate that buyers remain in control, increasing the likelihood of continued upward movement. Despite the bullish outlook, silver faces potential downside risks if key support levels fail to hold. A break below the nine-day EMA at $31.71 could indicate weakening momentum, with the next critical support at the 14-day EMA of $31.44. If the price falls below the ascending channel’s lower boundary at $31.10, bearish pressure could accelerate, exposing silver to further losses. In a worst-case scenario, a sharp decline could push XAG/USD toward its five-month low of $28.74, recorded in December. Traders should closely monitor support levels and key technical indicators to assess potential trend reversals.

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